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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, Oil Spikes, Bigger CCB Cheques Land

  Tuesday, July 14, 2026 Good morning. Here's what Canadians need to know today, from tomorrow's Bank of Canada rate call to a bigger Canada Child Benefit deposit landing next week. 1. Bank of Canada decides tomorrow — a hold is widely expected The Bank of Canada announces its interest rate decision Wednesday, July 15, at 9:45 a.m. ET, alongside its quarterly Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists widely expect the Bank to hold its key rate at 2.25%, with Governor Tiff Macklem holding a press conference at 10:45 a.m. ET to explain the decision. What it means for you: If you're renewing a mortgage or carrying a variable-rate loan or HELOC, tomorrow's decision likely won't change your payment. But watch the tone of the statement closely — renewed oil-price pressure (see #3) could shape how the Bank talks about inflation risk heading into the fall. 2. U.S. inflation data drops this morning The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its June Consumer Price In...
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New Trade Clock: U.S. to Launch Canadian Tariffs Feb. 1 with Energy Levies Set for Mid-February

In a recent announcement, President Donald Trump outlined a fresh timetable for imposing tariffs on Canadian imports. According to the statement, standard tariffs on a broad range of Canadian goods are slated to begin on February 1. In a move aimed at tempering potential disruptions in the energy sector, Trump indicated that targeted levies on oil and gas products might be introduced around February 18, likely at a lower rate—around 10%—compared to the 25% tariff planned for most other products.

This staggered approach appears designed to address long-standing trade imbalances and border security issues while minimizing the shock to energy prices for American consumers. By delaying the energy-specific tariffs, the administration may be seeking additional time for negotiations with Canadian officials, who have already warned that retaliatory measures could follow if the tariffs are fully implemented.

Market analysts view the phased implementation as both a negotiation tactic and a means of reducing the immediate economic impact on sensitive sectors. Investors are now keeping a close watch on developments as uncertainty over these measures continues to influence market sentiment, with concerns over inflation and supply chain disruptions remaining high.


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