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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Provincial Directive Curbs AHS Authority Over Private Surgical Contract Negotiations

 


In a significant policy shift, Alberta Health Minister Adriana LaGrange has stripped Alberta Health Services (AHS) of its authority to negotiate contracts with private surgical facilities. According to a government directive obtained by media, the change came after internal concerns—raised by the agency’s then-chief executive—over rising contract costs.

Documents, including a letter from former AHS CEO Athana Mentzelopoulos’s lawyer, allege that senior government officials—even involving Premier Danielle Smith’s former chief of staff—intervened in AHS’s procurement process to favor private companies. This interference reportedly undermined AHS’s established negotiation powers and raised serious questions about transparency in the province’s health system. 

A separate report in a Morning Update from Unpublished Newswire reiterated the move, noting that the directive is part of broader reforms aimed at reducing costs by leveraging competitive pricing in surgical services.  Meanwhile, a CityNews investigation has added context to the controversy, citing denials by private surgical providers who label the allegations of sweetheart deals as “false and baseless.” 

Critics and opposition leaders are calling for further inquiry into the decision-making process behind these changes, arguing that the shift could signal a move toward greater privatization of public health services. In contrast, government representatives insist that the directive is intended solely to improve efficiency and ensure more competitive pricing for publicly funded operations.

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