Published July 5, 2026 Your morning rundown on the Canadian economy, markets, and money moves — TSX hits a record close, CUSMA talks roll past the deadline, the first CGEB payment lands, and what to expect ahead of the Bank of Canada's July 15 decision. 1. TSX closes at a record high on gold-miner strength The S&P/TSX Composite climbed 0.9% to close at a record 35,275 on Friday, July 3, powered by gold mining stocks. Gold prices firmed after U.S. nonfarm payrolls for June came in at roughly half the expected pace, fuelling bets that the Federal Reserve could turn more dovish. Agnico Eagle, Wheaton Precious Metals, and Barrick all posted solid gains, while financials like Scotiabank and BMO also moved higher on easing oil-supply concerns. Why it matters: if you hold Canadian equity index funds in your TFSA or RRSP, resource and financial-sector strength has been doing a lot of the heavy lifting this year — worth knowing if your portfolio feels more concentrated than you'd...
Tariff Truce, but Trade Tensions Linger
A temporary pause in U.S. tariffs has provided a brief respite for Canada, yet uncertainty continues to cloud North American trade relations. President Donald Trump’s decision to delay the 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports for 30 days—pending further border security and anti-drug measures—has momentarily stalled a looming trade war. However, Canadian officials and business leaders remain wary that this delay may only be a short intermission in a longer-term conflict.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government has moved quickly by announcing initiatives such as a $1.3 billion border security plan, the appointment of a “fentanyl czar,” and the deployment of additional border personnel. Despite these measures, major Canadian unions and provincial leaders warn that the threat of reimposed tariffs could still jeopardize jobs and disrupt economic stability. Industries dependent on cross-border supply chains—from energy to manufacturing—are bracing for potential price increases and operational disruptions, with investors watching market responses closely.
While financial markets showed only a modest selloff after the announcement, many remain cautious about what future negotiations might bring. The administration’s focus on curbing illegal immigration and drug trafficking has, for now, diverted immediate tariff implementation, but the possibility of renewed tariff action—potentially even extending to goods from the European Union—keeps uncertainty alive on both sides of the border.
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