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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...

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Tariffs, Trade & Ties: Modi’s Diplomatic ‘Gift’ to Trump

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrived in Washington with a well-calculated strategy aimed at strengthening the U.S.-India relationship while averting new tariff threats from the Trump administration. In a visit marked by a series of high-level meetings, Modi is expected to offer concessions ranging from increased purchases of U.S. defense equipment—including combat vehicles and jet engines—to greater imports of liquefied natural gas and American agricultural products.

The Indian leader’s visit comes at a critical juncture. Trump, still in the early days of his presidency, has been vocally critical of India’s high tariffs—often branding the country as a “tariff king”—and has indicated plans for reciprocal measures that could affect American consumers and global trade balances. In response, New Delhi has made adjustments, reducing duties on select goods such as Harley-Davidson motorcycles and opening doors to deeper negotiations on key sectors like electronics, medical supplies, and chemicals.

Both leaders appear to be leveraging their established rapport—built during Modi’s previous interactions in Washington—to navigate these contentious issues. While Trump is looking to reshape trade dynamics and bolster U.S. economic interests, Modi’s visit is equally focused on cementing a strategic partnership that balances economic imperatives with broader geopolitical concerns, especially in countering China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific region.

This diplomatic engagement highlights the complex interplay of trade, tariff negotiations, and strategic alliances at a time when both nations are seeking to recalibrate their relationship amidst global economic uncertainties.


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