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Markets Brief: Iran Deal Hopes Drive Global Rally — TSX Eyes a Strong Open | May 29, 2026

It's been a week dominated by one headline: the U.S.-Iran war and the fragile hopes of a peace deal. Heading into the long weekend, markets are ending Friday on an optimistic note, with record-setting sessions in Asia and a strong tone across North America. Here's your full wrap. Canada — TSX After a rough patch mid-week, the TSX bounced back Thursday — its first gain since Monday's record close — finishing up around 0.7% to the 34,770s range, driven largely by a blockbuster round of Big Six bank earnings. All six of Canada's largest banks beat analysts' estimates for Q2 (quarter ended April 30), raising dividends and signalling cautious optimism despite the volatile global backdrop. RBC posted a standout quarter, with its Wealth Management division up 28% year-over-year. TD Bank earned $4.25 billion in adjusted net income ($2.38/share), topping expectations, and raised its dividend. CIBC's profit surged 43%, with adjusted EPS of $2.76 beating consensus by a wid...

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Trade Tensions Misread: Mexico Acts Responsively as Canada Misinterprets U.S. Tariff Order

 

In a recent statement, the White House noted a striking contrast between the reactions of its two northern neighbors. According to officials, while Mexico is “very, very serious” about addressing the issues outlined in President Trump’s executive order on tariffs, Canadian authorities appear to have misunderstood its intent—seeing it as the start of a full-blown trade war rather than a targeted measure.

White House National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett explained that, during discussions over the weekend, it became clear that Mexico was committed to taking immediate action, including strengthening its border security measures to stem the flow of illegal drugs and migrants. In contrast, Canadian officials seem to be interpreting the order as an escalation that could unnecessarily jeopardize long-standing economic ties.

The executive order, which imposes tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China, is part of a broader strategy aimed at protecting U.S. national security interests by curbing what the administration describes as threats posed by illegal immigration and the influx of fentanyl. While the White House praised Mexico’s measured response, it urged Canada to adopt a similar approach and avoid overreacting to the order’s “plain language.”

This mixed reaction from North America highlights the complex dynamics of U.S. trade policy under the current administration and raises concerns about the potential for miscommunication among key trading partners. As negotiations continue, U.S. officials hope that Canada will realign its stance, ensuring that cooperative measures prevail over the specter of an escalating trade conflict.


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