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Daily Markets Update: Nasdaq Hits Record as Yields Top 5.3%, TSX Flat, Loonie Near 70¢

  S&P/TSX 35,518.55 +0.04% S&P 500 7,773.99 +0.66% Nasdaq 27,477.31 +1.05% Brent US$100.42 -1.8% USD/CAD 1.4250 Flat US 10-yr 5.315% +3.8 bp Monday, October 5 close, with Asia’s Tuesday session. Wall Street’s tech rally pushed the Nasdaq to a fresh record on Monday even as long-term bond yields kept climbing: the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield settled at 5.315%, a new 52-week high. Canada’s TSX barely moved, with tech gains offsetting a slide in energy and financials, and Cenovus fell after unveiling a C$5.7-billion takeover of Athabasca Oil. Oil dropped nearly 2% as G7 emergency stock releases and rising Middle East exports eased supply fears, and the loonie hovered near 70 U.S. cents, close to its weakest level in about 18 months. Canada: TSX Flat as Tech Offsets Energy Index / Stock Close Change S&P/TSX Composite 35,518.55 +0.04% Shopify (SHOP) — +5.7% Athabasca Oil (ATH) — +13.5% Cenovus Energy (CVE) C$44.86 -3.0% Suncor Energy (SU) — -1.2% The TSX added 15.90 points ...
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Trade War Looms: Economists Brace for Impact as Loonie Weakens


As the specter of a trade war looms large, economists and market strategists are sounding the alarm, warning of potential repercussions for the Canadian economy. The recent announcement of sweeping tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump on Canadian goods has sent shockwaves through financial markets, causing the Canadian dollar, or "loonie," to slide to its lowest level since 2003.

Top economists predict that if the tariff war persists, Canada's economy could face its most severe shock since the COVID-19 pandemic. The loonie's decline is expected to exacerbate inflationary pressures and increase the unemployment rate, potentially pushing the economy into a recession. 

Chief Economist Beata Caranci and Senior Economist James Orlando anticipate a "sharp negative reaction" in North American equity markets and further weakening of the loonie, which could drop as low as 65 US cents. The Bank of Canada may be forced to cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact.

As the situation unfolds, market strategists advise investors to brace for volatility and consider safe-haven assets to weather the storm. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether negotiations can avert a full-blown trade war and stabilize the loonie.




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