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Carney's Retaliation List: What It Could Mean for Your Grocery Bill

  Published August 22, 2026 · Canadian Money Brief The 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $28 billion of Canadian goods are no longer a threat — they took effect at 12:01 a.m. Saturday after last-minute talks between Ottawa and Washington collapsed Friday night. Prime Minister Mark Carney responded by suspending negotiations entirely and promising to hit back "dollar for dollar." Unlike the tariff deadline itself, this part isn't happening tonight: Carney says Canada's countermeasures won't take effect until September 8 , and the exact product list is still being finalized. That two-and-a-half week gap matters for your wallet. It's a window where the general shape of the retaliation is known, but the fine print — the specific products, the exact surtax rates, which exemptions get carved out — is still being written in Ottawa. Here's what's confirmed, what history tells us to expect, and how to think about the impact on your own spending. What's confirmed ...
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Trade War Looms: Economists Brace for Impact as Loonie Weakens


As the specter of a trade war looms large, economists and market strategists are sounding the alarm, warning of potential repercussions for the Canadian economy. The recent announcement of sweeping tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump on Canadian goods has sent shockwaves through financial markets, causing the Canadian dollar, or "loonie," to slide to its lowest level since 2003.

Top economists predict that if the tariff war persists, Canada's economy could face its most severe shock since the COVID-19 pandemic. The loonie's decline is expected to exacerbate inflationary pressures and increase the unemployment rate, potentially pushing the economy into a recession. 

Chief Economist Beata Caranci and Senior Economist James Orlando anticipate a "sharp negative reaction" in North American equity markets and further weakening of the loonie, which could drop as low as 65 US cents. The Bank of Canada may be forced to cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact.

As the situation unfolds, market strategists advise investors to brace for volatility and consider safe-haven assets to weather the storm. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether negotiations can avert a full-blown trade war and stabilize the loonie.




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