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U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio

  Canadian Money Brief | Feature U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio By MoneySavings.ca | Published November 1, 2026 Americans vote Tuesday in elections that will fill all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Canadians don't get a ballot, but we do get the consequences: a loonie that swung from an 18-month low to a six-week high in about two weeks, a tariff fight that has put 50% duties on roughly US$20 billion of our exports, and a lot of U.S. stock sitting inside our TFSAs and RRSPs. Here is how to think about all of it without trying to guess the winner. The short version: Nobody can reliably trade an election result. Forecasters lean toward Democrats winning the House, with the Senate closer. But history says the bigger market moves tend to come in the months after the vote, not on election night. For Canadians, the useful steps are practical: convert U.S. dollars in pieces, know how much U.S. stock you hold, and don't...
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Trudeau Acknowledges: Trump's Annexation Threat Is More Than Just Banter

In a surprising hot-mic moment at a closed-door business summit in Toronto, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau candidly remarked that U.S. President Donald Trump’s talk of absorbing Canada as the “51st state” might be more than just playful rhetoric. Speaking to a group of business and labor leaders, Trudeau suggested that Trump’s persistent focus on Canada’s abundant critical minerals and economic assets could indicate a serious—if unlikely—plan to use economic pressure to reshape North American trade relations.

Trudeau’s off-the-record comments, inadvertently captured when his microphone was left on, reveal growing concern among Canadian officials about the long-term political and economic implications of Trump’s expansionist language. While public statements from both leaders have dismissed the notion as mere jest, the prime minister’s remarks underscore that the threat of steep tariffs and aggressive trade tactics is real enough to prompt a strategic national response.

Despite the provocative exchange, Canadian leaders remain united in dismissing any possibility of annexation. They emphasize that Canada’s legal framework, political will, and national pride make any merger with the United States practically unfeasible. The incident has reignited debates on how best to safeguard Canada’s economic interests and reinforce its sovereignty amid unpredictable U.S. policies.

Trudeau’s unexpected admission serves as a reminder that beneath the surface of international trade negotiations and political posturing, the stakes remain high for Canada as it navigates a challenging relationship with its powerful neighbor.

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