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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Trump Signals Potential for Ukraine to Reclaim Land Amid Deepening Rifts with Allies at UN

In a recent statement, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that Ukraine might be able to reclaim some of its territories occupied by Russia, though he acknowledged the challenges involved. Speaking during a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House, Trump remarked, "You’re asking whether or not they [Ukrainians] could take back the land that they lost. And I say that yes, perhaps some of it, yes. But that’s not an easy thing to do".

This statement comes amid ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, which have notably excluded Ukraine from the discussions. The decision to exclude Ukraine has sparked backlash in Europe and Ukraine, with European leaders expressing concerns about being sidelined by the U.S. Macron has been actively rallying European counterparts to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine.

The situation has further strained relations between the U.S. and its European allies. French President Macron emphasized that peace must not mean the surrender of Ukraine, highlighting the importance of maintaining Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to visit Washington later this week to meet with Trump and discuss the ongoing conflict and potential resolutions.

As the negotiations continue, the international community remains watchful of the developments and the potential impact on the geopolitical landscape. The exclusion of Ukraine from the talks and the deepening rifts with European allies underscore the complexities and challenges of finding a resolution to the conflict.


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