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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump Signals Potential for Ukraine to Reclaim Land Amid Deepening Rifts with Allies at UN

In a recent statement, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that Ukraine might be able to reclaim some of its territories occupied by Russia, though he acknowledged the challenges involved. Speaking during a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House, Trump remarked, "You’re asking whether or not they [Ukrainians] could take back the land that they lost. And I say that yes, perhaps some of it, yes. But that’s not an easy thing to do".

This statement comes amid ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, which have notably excluded Ukraine from the discussions. The decision to exclude Ukraine has sparked backlash in Europe and Ukraine, with European leaders expressing concerns about being sidelined by the U.S. Macron has been actively rallying European counterparts to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine.

The situation has further strained relations between the U.S. and its European allies. French President Macron emphasized that peace must not mean the surrender of Ukraine, highlighting the importance of maintaining Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to visit Washington later this week to meet with Trump and discuss the ongoing conflict and potential resolutions.

As the negotiations continue, the international community remains watchful of the developments and the potential impact on the geopolitical landscape. The exclusion of Ukraine from the talks and the deepening rifts with European allies underscore the complexities and challenges of finding a resolution to the conflict.


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