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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Trump Signals Potential for Ukraine to Reclaim Land Amid Deepening Rifts with Allies at UN

In a recent statement, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that Ukraine might be able to reclaim some of its territories occupied by Russia, though he acknowledged the challenges involved. Speaking during a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House, Trump remarked, "You’re asking whether or not they [Ukrainians] could take back the land that they lost. And I say that yes, perhaps some of it, yes. But that’s not an easy thing to do".

This statement comes amid ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, which have notably excluded Ukraine from the discussions. The decision to exclude Ukraine has sparked backlash in Europe and Ukraine, with European leaders expressing concerns about being sidelined by the U.S. Macron has been actively rallying European counterparts to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine.

The situation has further strained relations between the U.S. and its European allies. French President Macron emphasized that peace must not mean the surrender of Ukraine, highlighting the importance of maintaining Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to visit Washington later this week to meet with Trump and discuss the ongoing conflict and potential resolutions.

As the negotiations continue, the international community remains watchful of the developments and the potential impact on the geopolitical landscape. The exclusion of Ukraine from the talks and the deepening rifts with European allies underscore the complexities and challenges of finding a resolution to the conflict.


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