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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Trump Signals Potential for Ukraine to Reclaim Land Amid Deepening Rifts with Allies at UN

In a recent statement, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that Ukraine might be able to reclaim some of its territories occupied by Russia, though he acknowledged the challenges involved. Speaking during a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House, Trump remarked, "You’re asking whether or not they [Ukrainians] could take back the land that they lost. And I say that yes, perhaps some of it, yes. But that’s not an easy thing to do".

This statement comes amid ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, which have notably excluded Ukraine from the discussions. The decision to exclude Ukraine has sparked backlash in Europe and Ukraine, with European leaders expressing concerns about being sidelined by the U.S. Macron has been actively rallying European counterparts to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine.

The situation has further strained relations between the U.S. and its European allies. French President Macron emphasized that peace must not mean the surrender of Ukraine, highlighting the importance of maintaining Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to visit Washington later this week to meet with Trump and discuss the ongoing conflict and potential resolutions.

As the negotiations continue, the international community remains watchful of the developments and the potential impact on the geopolitical landscape. The exclusion of Ukraine from the talks and the deepening rifts with European allies underscore the complexities and challenges of finding a resolution to the conflict.


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