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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Trump Signals Potential for Ukraine to Reclaim Land Amid Deepening Rifts with Allies at UN

In a recent statement, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that Ukraine might be able to reclaim some of its territories occupied by Russia, though he acknowledged the challenges involved. Speaking during a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House, Trump remarked, "You’re asking whether or not they [Ukrainians] could take back the land that they lost. And I say that yes, perhaps some of it, yes. But that’s not an easy thing to do".

This statement comes amid ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, which have notably excluded Ukraine from the discussions. The decision to exclude Ukraine has sparked backlash in Europe and Ukraine, with European leaders expressing concerns about being sidelined by the U.S. Macron has been actively rallying European counterparts to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine.

The situation has further strained relations between the U.S. and its European allies. French President Macron emphasized that peace must not mean the surrender of Ukraine, highlighting the importance of maintaining Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to visit Washington later this week to meet with Trump and discuss the ongoing conflict and potential resolutions.

As the negotiations continue, the international community remains watchful of the developments and the potential impact on the geopolitical landscape. The exclusion of Ukraine from the talks and the deepening rifts with European allies underscore the complexities and challenges of finding a resolution to the conflict.


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