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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Trump’s Tariff Threat: Canada as the 51st State?

 

In a controversial twist amid escalating trade tensions, President Donald Trump has again directed his ire at Canada. In a post on his Truth Social platform on Sunday, Trump claimed that the United States spends “hundreds of Billions of Dollars” subsidizing Canada and argued that without this subsidy, Canada “ceases to exist as a viable country.” He went on to suggest that Canada should simply join the United States as its “cherished 51st state,” touting benefits such as much lower taxes and superior military protection, and promising an end to tariffs on Canadian goods. 

The remark comes on the heels of the imposition of 25% tariffs on imports from Canada (and Mexico), a move aimed at curbing issues like illegal immigration and drug trafficking across the border. In response, Canada has retaliated with its own tariff measures, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has firmly rejected any notion of statehood, emphasizing that Canada’s sovereignty is non-negotiable.

Economic analysts warn that such aggressive tariff policies could lead to higher prices for American consumers and disrupt long-established trade relationships in North America. As trade partners brace for a prolonged dispute, critics dismiss Trump’s suggestion as little more than political theater designed to rally his base rather than a feasible policy shift.

The unfolding trade war continues to raise questions about the future of North American economic relations and whether such bold proposals could ever move beyond the realm of rhetoric.

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