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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Trump’s Tariff Threat: Canada as the 51st State?

 

In a controversial twist amid escalating trade tensions, President Donald Trump has again directed his ire at Canada. In a post on his Truth Social platform on Sunday, Trump claimed that the United States spends “hundreds of Billions of Dollars” subsidizing Canada and argued that without this subsidy, Canada “ceases to exist as a viable country.” He went on to suggest that Canada should simply join the United States as its “cherished 51st state,” touting benefits such as much lower taxes and superior military protection, and promising an end to tariffs on Canadian goods. 

The remark comes on the heels of the imposition of 25% tariffs on imports from Canada (and Mexico), a move aimed at curbing issues like illegal immigration and drug trafficking across the border. In response, Canada has retaliated with its own tariff measures, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has firmly rejected any notion of statehood, emphasizing that Canada’s sovereignty is non-negotiable.

Economic analysts warn that such aggressive tariff policies could lead to higher prices for American consumers and disrupt long-established trade relationships in North America. As trade partners brace for a prolonged dispute, critics dismiss Trump’s suggestion as little more than political theater designed to rally his base rather than a feasible policy shift.

The unfolding trade war continues to raise questions about the future of North American economic relations and whether such bold proposals could ever move beyond the realm of rhetoric.

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