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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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U.S. Aid Agency to Trim Workforce to Under 300 Amid Radical Overhaul

 

In a dramatic shakeup that has rattled the international development community, the Trump administration announced sweeping plans to reduce the U.S. Agency for International Development’s (USAID) workforce from over 10,000 employees to fewer than 300. Most staff members—including thousands stationed overseas—have been placed on administrative leave, with only a small core of personnel retained to manage essential, mission-critical programs.

The controversial downsizing is being driven by a broader effort led by President Donald Trump and his ally Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to cut what they describe as wasteful spending on foreign aid. According to officials, the remaining team will focus solely on high-priority functions such as health, humanitarian assistance, and global crisis response.

The move has already sparked legal challenges. Federal workers’ unions, including the American Foreign Service Association and the American Federation of Government Employees, have filed lawsuits claiming that the abrupt curtailment of USAID violates congressional mandates and could precipitate a global humanitarian crisis by halting critical aid programs in more than 130 countries.

Critics warn that dismantling a cornerstone of U.S. foreign assistance may not only disrupt lifesaving projects—from HIV/AIDS treatment to emergency disaster relief—but also diminish America’s soft power on the global stage. As the administration contemplates merging USAID’s remaining operations with the State Department under acting administrator Marco Rubio, questions abound over the long-term implications for U.S. influence and international development efforts.

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