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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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U.S. Aid Agency to Trim Workforce to Under 300 Amid Radical Overhaul

 

In a dramatic shakeup that has rattled the international development community, the Trump administration announced sweeping plans to reduce the U.S. Agency for International Development’s (USAID) workforce from over 10,000 employees to fewer than 300. Most staff members—including thousands stationed overseas—have been placed on administrative leave, with only a small core of personnel retained to manage essential, mission-critical programs.

The controversial downsizing is being driven by a broader effort led by President Donald Trump and his ally Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to cut what they describe as wasteful spending on foreign aid. According to officials, the remaining team will focus solely on high-priority functions such as health, humanitarian assistance, and global crisis response.

The move has already sparked legal challenges. Federal workers’ unions, including the American Foreign Service Association and the American Federation of Government Employees, have filed lawsuits claiming that the abrupt curtailment of USAID violates congressional mandates and could precipitate a global humanitarian crisis by halting critical aid programs in more than 130 countries.

Critics warn that dismantling a cornerstone of U.S. foreign assistance may not only disrupt lifesaving projects—from HIV/AIDS treatment to emergency disaster relief—but also diminish America’s soft power on the global stage. As the administration contemplates merging USAID’s remaining operations with the State Department under acting administrator Marco Rubio, questions abound over the long-term implications for U.S. influence and international development efforts.

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