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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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U.S. and Ukraine Finalize Critical Minerals Agreement Amid Ongoing Conflict

 

In a significant development, the United States and Ukraine have reached an agreement on the terms of a critical minerals deal. This agreement comes amid ongoing efforts to end the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. The deal is expected to see the U.S. jointly develop Ukraine's mineral wealth, with revenues going to a newly-created fund that would be "joint for Ukraine and America".

The agreement follows a series of intense negotiations between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump. The deal aims to compensate for the billions of dollars worth of wartime aid that Ukraine received under former President Joe Biden. Ukrainian officials hope that this agreement will improve ties with the Trump administration and lay the groundwork for a long-term U.S. security commitment.

President Zelenskyy is expected to travel to Washington, D.C., later this week to sign the agreement with President Trump. The deal is seen as a crucial step towards reaching a ceasefire with Russia and ensuring a stable and prosperous future for Ukraine.

The critical minerals deal is central to Kyiv's push to win support from the U.S. as President Trump seeks to rapidly end the war with Russia. The agreement includes provisions for the joint development of Ukraine's mineral resources, including oil and gas, after the U.S. withdrew its demand for a $500 billion share in potential revenue from resource exploitation.

This landmark agreement marks a significant milestone in the ongoing efforts to bring peace and stability to the region while fostering economic cooperation between the U.S. and Ukraine.



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