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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...

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U.S. and Ukraine Finalize Critical Minerals Agreement Amid Ongoing Conflict

 

In a significant development, the United States and Ukraine have reached an agreement on the terms of a critical minerals deal. This agreement comes amid ongoing efforts to end the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. The deal is expected to see the U.S. jointly develop Ukraine's mineral wealth, with revenues going to a newly-created fund that would be "joint for Ukraine and America".

The agreement follows a series of intense negotiations between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump. The deal aims to compensate for the billions of dollars worth of wartime aid that Ukraine received under former President Joe Biden. Ukrainian officials hope that this agreement will improve ties with the Trump administration and lay the groundwork for a long-term U.S. security commitment.

President Zelenskyy is expected to travel to Washington, D.C., later this week to sign the agreement with President Trump. The deal is seen as a crucial step towards reaching a ceasefire with Russia and ensuring a stable and prosperous future for Ukraine.

The critical minerals deal is central to Kyiv's push to win support from the U.S. as President Trump seeks to rapidly end the war with Russia. The agreement includes provisions for the joint development of Ukraine's mineral resources, including oil and gas, after the U.S. withdrew its demand for a $500 billion share in potential revenue from resource exploitation.

This landmark agreement marks a significant milestone in the ongoing efforts to bring peace and stability to the region while fostering economic cooperation between the U.S. and Ukraine.



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