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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...

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Wall Street Braces for Economic Turbulence Amid New Tariffs


President Donald Trump's recent imposition of tariffs—25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on Chinese goods—has sent ripples through global markets, with investors expressing concerns over potential economic repercussions. The tariffs, set to take effect on Tuesday, have prompted fears of increased inflation and a slowdown in economic growth.

Analysts warn that these tariffs could lead to higher production costs for U.S. companies reliant on imported materials, potentially squeezing corporate profits. Barclays previously estimated a 2.8% decline in S&P 500 company earnings due to such trade measures.

The consumer sector is also expected to feel the impact, with anticipated price increases in everyday goods such as groceries and household items. Goldman Sachs projected a 0.7% rise in core inflation if tariffs extend to Canada and Mexico.

In response to the U.S. tariffs, Canada and Mexico have announced retaliatory measures, further escalating trade tensions. China has indicated plans to lodge a complaint with the World Trade Organization and is considering countermeasures.

The financial markets have reacted to these developments with increased volatility. The Dow Jones Industrial Average recently fell 0.8%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite dropped 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, erasing earlier gains.

Investors are now closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's response, particularly regarding interest rate policies, as the central bank aims to balance economic growth with inflation control. The situation remains fluid, with market participants bracing for further developments in the evolving trade landscape.

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