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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Aid Blockade Intensifies Ceasefire Standoff Between Israel and Hamas

In a significant escalation of tensions, Israel has halted the entry of all goods and supplies into the Gaza Strip, aiming to pressure Hamas into accepting a new ceasefire proposal. This move comes as the first phase of a fragile ceasefire expired, leaving both sides at an impasse over the terms of a potential extension.

The Israeli government, in coordination with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff, proposed extending the ceasefire through Ramadan and Passover, which end on April 20. Under this plan, Hamas would release half of the remaining hostages on the first day, with the rest to follow upon reaching a permanent ceasefire agreement. However, Hamas has accused Israel of violating the truce and using aid as leverage, calling the blockade "cheap extortion" and a "war crime".

The first phase of the ceasefire, which began in January, saw a surge in humanitarian aid and the release of hostages on both sides. Yet, disputes over alleged violations marred the truce, with each side blaming the other for breaches. The blockade now threatens to exacerbate the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, where the population heavily relies on international aid for survival.

As negotiations stall, the international community watches closely, urging both parties to find a resolution that prioritizes peace and humanitarian needs. The situation remains precarious, with the potential for further escalation if an agreement is not reached soon.

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