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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Aid Blockade Intensifies Ceasefire Standoff Between Israel and Hamas

In a significant escalation of tensions, Israel has halted the entry of all goods and supplies into the Gaza Strip, aiming to pressure Hamas into accepting a new ceasefire proposal. This move comes as the first phase of a fragile ceasefire expired, leaving both sides at an impasse over the terms of a potential extension.

The Israeli government, in coordination with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff, proposed extending the ceasefire through Ramadan and Passover, which end on April 20. Under this plan, Hamas would release half of the remaining hostages on the first day, with the rest to follow upon reaching a permanent ceasefire agreement. However, Hamas has accused Israel of violating the truce and using aid as leverage, calling the blockade "cheap extortion" and a "war crime".

The first phase of the ceasefire, which began in January, saw a surge in humanitarian aid and the release of hostages on both sides. Yet, disputes over alleged violations marred the truce, with each side blaming the other for breaches. The blockade now threatens to exacerbate the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, where the population heavily relies on international aid for survival.

As negotiations stall, the international community watches closely, urging both parties to find a resolution that prioritizes peace and humanitarian needs. The situation remains precarious, with the potential for further escalation if an agreement is not reached soon.

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