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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Canada Strikes Back with $29.8 Billion in Tariffs on U.S. Goods

 

In a bold move to counter U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, Canada has announced retaliatory tariffs worth $29.8 billion. The new measures, set to take effect on March 13, 2025, will impose a 25% tariff on a range of U.S. imports, including steel, aluminum, computers, sports equipment, and cast-iron products.

Canadian Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc emphasized the importance of protecting Canada's industries, stating that these tariffs are a direct response to the U.S.'s "unjustified" actions. The Canadian government has also introduced measures to support affected workers and businesses, including financial aid and trade programs.

This development marks a significant escalation in trade tensions between the two nations, with both sides standing firm on their positions. The impact of these tariffs is expected to ripple through industries on both sides of the border, potentially affecting prices and supply chains.

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