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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Canada Strikes Back with $29.8 Billion in Tariffs on U.S. Goods

 

In a bold move to counter U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, Canada has announced retaliatory tariffs worth $29.8 billion. The new measures, set to take effect on March 13, 2025, will impose a 25% tariff on a range of U.S. imports, including steel, aluminum, computers, sports equipment, and cast-iron products.

Canadian Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc emphasized the importance of protecting Canada's industries, stating that these tariffs are a direct response to the U.S.'s "unjustified" actions. The Canadian government has also introduced measures to support affected workers and businesses, including financial aid and trade programs.

This development marks a significant escalation in trade tensions between the two nations, with both sides standing firm on their positions. The impact of these tariffs is expected to ripple through industries on both sides of the border, potentially affecting prices and supply chains.

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