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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Canada's Inflation Rate Rises as GST Holiday Ends


Canada's annual inflation rate surged to 2.6% in February, up from 1.9% in January, according to Statistics Canada. This increase follows the conclusion of the federal government's two-month GST/HST holiday, which had temporarily reduced prices on various household staples, gifts, and restaurant bills. The tax break ended mid-February, contributing to a notable rise in consumer prices.

Economists had anticipated a more modest inflation increase to 2.2%, but the actual figures exceeded expectations. Without the tax holiday in place for half the month, inflation would have reached 3%, highlighting the significant impact of the temporary measure.

While gas prices saw a slight monthly increase, their annual comparison showed a deceleration, helping to moderate the overall inflation rate. However, provinces like Ontario and New Brunswick experienced the fastest price accelerations, reflecting regional variations in consumer costs.

This development comes as the Bank of Canada continues to monitor inflation trends closely, especially in the context of ongoing economic challenges. The end of the GST/HST holiday underscores the complexities of balancing temporary relief measures with long-term economic stability.

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