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TSX Eyes Gains as Trump-Xi Summit Looms and Oil Steadies Near $95

Canadian Money Brief · Monday, May 11, 2026 Canadian equities are set for a cautious but constructive open this Monday as investors balance a packed macro calendar against an energy sector still reeling from one of its most volatile weeks in recent memory. TSX at a Glance The S&P/TSX Composite closed Friday at 34,077.76 , up 221 points (+0.65%) to cap a week dominated by whipsaw oil moves and a fragile Middle East ceasefire. The energy sector has led TSX gains over the past seven days — up roughly 5% — even as WTI crude fell about 7% on the week, settling near $95.42 per barrel . That apparent contradiction reflects Canadian producers' longer-term optimism on supply tightness rather than any single day's price swing. For the year, the TSX is up approximately 35%, outpacing most major global benchmarks. The Big Story: Trump Heads to Beijing All eyes this week will be on Washington and Beijing. President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive in China on Wednesday , with formal ...
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Canada's Inflation Rate Rises as GST Holiday Ends


Canada's annual inflation rate surged to 2.6% in February, up from 1.9% in January, according to Statistics Canada. This increase follows the conclusion of the federal government's two-month GST/HST holiday, which had temporarily reduced prices on various household staples, gifts, and restaurant bills. The tax break ended mid-February, contributing to a notable rise in consumer prices.

Economists had anticipated a more modest inflation increase to 2.2%, but the actual figures exceeded expectations. Without the tax holiday in place for half the month, inflation would have reached 3%, highlighting the significant impact of the temporary measure.

While gas prices saw a slight monthly increase, their annual comparison showed a deceleration, helping to moderate the overall inflation rate. However, provinces like Ontario and New Brunswick experienced the fastest price accelerations, reflecting regional variations in consumer costs.

This development comes as the Bank of Canada continues to monitor inflation trends closely, especially in the context of ongoing economic challenges. The end of the GST/HST holiday underscores the complexities of balancing temporary relief measures with long-term economic stability.

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