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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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China Retaliates Against U.S. Tariffs with Agricultural Countermeasures

 

In a significant escalation of trade tensions, China has announced retaliatory tariffs on a range of U.S. agricultural products. This move comes in response to the United States' decision to increase tariffs on Chinese imports. The newly imposed Chinese tariffs, set to take effect on March 10, will target key American exports, including soybeans, pork, beef, and poultry, with additional duties ranging from 10% to 15%.

The agricultural sector, a cornerstone of U.S. exports to China, is expected to feel the brunt of these measures. Soybeans, the largest U.S. agricultural export to China, will face a 10% tariff, potentially disrupting a trade flow valued at nearly $13 billion annually. Other affected products include wheat, corn, cotton, and various dairy and seafood items.

China's actions highlight its strategic approach to diversifying its agricultural imports, with increased reliance on suppliers from South America and other regions. This development underscores the growing economic friction between the world's two largest economies, with both sides showing no signs of backing down.


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