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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Ford Hails Progress in U.S.-Canada Trade Talks


Ontario Premier Doug Ford described his recent meeting with U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick as "very, very productive," signaling a potential thaw in the tense trade relations between Canada and the United States. The meeting, held in Washington, D.C., focused on addressing escalating tariffs and fostering a more collaborative economic relationship.

Ford expressed optimism, stating, "The temperature's coming down," and emphasized the importance of finding common ground for the benefit of both nations. While specific details of the discussions remain under wraps, the promise of continued dialogue next week suggests a commitment to resolving trade disputes amicably.

This meeting comes amidst a backdrop of heightened tensions, with both countries imposing tariffs on each other's goods. Ford's efforts to de-escalate the situation highlight the significance of diplomacy in navigating complex international trade dynamics.

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