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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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France's Prime Minister Condemns Trump's Oval Office Clash with Zelenskyy

 


In a rare display of sharp criticism, French Prime Minister François Bayrou denounced former U.S. President Donald Trump's recent confrontation with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Speaking during a parliamentary debate in Paris, Bayrou described the Oval Office exchange as a "staggering show of brutality" aimed at humiliating Zelenskyy. 

The incident, which unfolded before global media, saw Trump allegedly pressuring Zelenskyy with threats, attempting to force concessions. Bayrou praised Zelenskyy for standing firm, stating, "President Zelenskyy did not fold, and I think we can show him our appreciation." His remarks were met with a standing ovation from French lawmakers.

This bold stance by Bayrou contrasts with the more measured tone adopted by French President Emmanuel Macron, signaling a divergence in diplomatic approaches within France's leadership. The episode has sparked widespread international debate about the dynamics of U.S.-Ukraine relations and the broader implications for global diplomacy.

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