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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Lockheed Martin's Proposal: Job Creation Tied to F-35 Fighter Jet Contract

 

Lockheed Martin, the U.S. defense contractor behind the F-35 fighter jet, has proposed creating additional jobs in Canada if the Canadian government commits to fulfilling its full order of 88 F-35 aircraft. This offer comes amidst ongoing discussions about the $19 billion contract, which was initially signed in 2023 to replace Canada's aging CF-18 fleet.

Currently, Canada has committed to purchasing only 16 of the 88 jets, with the first deliveries expected in 2026. Lockheed Martin's proposal aims to incentivize Ottawa to proceed with the remaining 72 aircraft by emphasizing the economic benefits of job creation. The company has highlighted the potential for roles in engineering, manufacturing, and other sectors critical to the Canadian economy.

However, the proposal is not without controversy. Prime Minister Mark Carney has ordered a review of the F-35 contract, citing concerns over trade relations with the United States and the geopolitical implications of relying on U.S.-made military equipment. Alternatives, such as the Swedish Gripen fighter jet, are also being considered, with some advocating for domestic production to boost Canadian sovereignty and job creation.

As the federal government navigates these complex decisions, the debate over the F-35 contract underscores the intersection of defense procurement, economic growth, and international relations.


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