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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Lockheed Martin's Proposal: Job Creation Tied to F-35 Fighter Jet Contract

 

Lockheed Martin, the U.S. defense contractor behind the F-35 fighter jet, has proposed creating additional jobs in Canada if the Canadian government commits to fulfilling its full order of 88 F-35 aircraft. This offer comes amidst ongoing discussions about the $19 billion contract, which was initially signed in 2023 to replace Canada's aging CF-18 fleet.

Currently, Canada has committed to purchasing only 16 of the 88 jets, with the first deliveries expected in 2026. Lockheed Martin's proposal aims to incentivize Ottawa to proceed with the remaining 72 aircraft by emphasizing the economic benefits of job creation. The company has highlighted the potential for roles in engineering, manufacturing, and other sectors critical to the Canadian economy.

However, the proposal is not without controversy. Prime Minister Mark Carney has ordered a review of the F-35 contract, citing concerns over trade relations with the United States and the geopolitical implications of relying on U.S.-made military equipment. Alternatives, such as the Swedish Gripen fighter jet, are also being considered, with some advocating for domestic production to boost Canadian sovereignty and job creation.

As the federal government navigates these complex decisions, the debate over the F-35 contract underscores the intersection of defense procurement, economic growth, and international relations.


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