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Canada's Economy Just Grew 3.3% — Here's Why That Makes a September Rate Cut Even Less Likely

  Published August 29, 2026 If you've been holding out hope that a slowing economy might finally push the Bank of Canada toward a rate cut, Friday's numbers just closed that door a little further. Statistics Canada reported that the Canadian economy grew at an annualized pace of 3.3% in the second quarter — the fastest rate since 2023 — and revised figures show the first quarter expanded 0.3% rather than shrinking as originally reported. That confirms Canada never actually slid into a technical recession this year. It's good news for the economy. It's less good news if you were counting on lower borrowing costs anytime soon. What actually drove the growth The rebound was broad-based. Exports posted their strongest performance in 39 months, business investment in factories, equipment and commercial real estate jumped, and consumer spending held up as well. On a per-person basis, output grew at a 3.8% annualized clip — the quickest pace since late 2021, even with Canada...

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Market Optimism Rises as Tariff Concerns Ease

                                                

The stock market is showing signs of optimism today, with futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all climbing. Investors are responding positively to reports suggesting that the next wave of tariffs proposed by President Trump may be more targeted and less severe than initially feared. This development has eased concerns about a potential escalation in the trade war, which could have significant implications for global trade and economic growth.

S&P 500 futures rose by 0.9%, while Nasdaq futures led the gains with a 1.1% increase. Dow Jones futures also advanced by 0.7%. The market's positive momentum follows a recent reversal of a four-week losing streak, signaling renewed confidence among investors.

The proposed tariffs, expected to be announced on April 2, are reportedly being narrowed to focus on specific trade imbalances. This strategic adjustment has provided relief to markets, which had been bracing for broader and more disruptive measures. As a result, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond rose slightly, reflecting improved risk appetite among investors.

Looking ahead, market participants will closely monitor upcoming economic data, including the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge and consumer confidence surveys, to gauge the broader economic outlook. For now, the tempered approach to tariffs has injected a dose of optimism into the markets, offering a welcome reprieve from recent volatility.

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