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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Market Rebound Amid Weekly Losses

                                         

U.S. stock futures showed signs of recovery on Friday after a challenging week marked by steep losses. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose by approximately 0.9%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 saw a 1.1% increase. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also climbed by 0.6%.

This rebound comes after the S&P 500 entered correction territory, joining the Nasdaq Composite in a sharp downturn. The week has been turbulent, with markets reacting to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic data. However, optimism grew as political developments suggested a reduced risk of a government shutdown.

Despite the day's positive momentum, all three major indexes are on track for significant weekly losses, reflecting the broader challenges faced by the market. Investors remain cautious as they await further economic indicators and policy updates.

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