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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Market Rebound Amid Weekly Losses

                                         

U.S. stock futures showed signs of recovery on Friday after a challenging week marked by steep losses. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose by approximately 0.9%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 saw a 1.1% increase. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also climbed by 0.6%.

This rebound comes after the S&P 500 entered correction territory, joining the Nasdaq Composite in a sharp downturn. The week has been turbulent, with markets reacting to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic data. However, optimism grew as political developments suggested a reduced risk of a government shutdown.

Despite the day's positive momentum, all three major indexes are on track for significant weekly losses, reflecting the broader challenges faced by the market. Investors remain cautious as they await further economic indicators and policy updates.

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