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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Market Rebound Amid Weekly Losses

                                         

U.S. stock futures showed signs of recovery on Friday after a challenging week marked by steep losses. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose by approximately 0.9%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 saw a 1.1% increase. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also climbed by 0.6%.

This rebound comes after the S&P 500 entered correction territory, joining the Nasdaq Composite in a sharp downturn. The week has been turbulent, with markets reacting to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic data. However, optimism grew as political developments suggested a reduced risk of a government shutdown.

Despite the day's positive momentum, all three major indexes are on track for significant weekly losses, reflecting the broader challenges faced by the market. Investors remain cautious as they await further economic indicators and policy updates.

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