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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Market Rebound Amid Weekly Losses

                                         

U.S. stock futures showed signs of recovery on Friday after a challenging week marked by steep losses. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose by approximately 0.9%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 saw a 1.1% increase. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also climbed by 0.6%.

This rebound comes after the S&P 500 entered correction territory, joining the Nasdaq Composite in a sharp downturn. The week has been turbulent, with markets reacting to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic data. However, optimism grew as political developments suggested a reduced risk of a government shutdown.

Despite the day's positive momentum, all three major indexes are on track for significant weekly losses, reflecting the broader challenges faced by the market. Investors remain cautious as they await further economic indicators and policy updates.

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