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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Markets Defy Drama: Stocks Rally Despite Trump-Zelensky Tensions

                                               

In a surprising turn of events, the stock market closed on a high note despite a tumultuous day in Washington. The Oval Office meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky erupted into a heated exchange, leaving investors on edge. The confrontation, which was widely covered by the media, added uncertainty to an already volatile market environment.

Despite the geopolitical drama, major indices managed to stage a late-session rally. The S&P 500 climbed 1.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.6%. Analysts attributed the rebound to encouraging economic data, including a slowdown in inflation as indicated by the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index.

While the public spat between the two leaders initially sent shockwaves through the market, investors seemed to regain confidence as the session progressed. The resilience of the market underscores its ability to weather political turbulence, even as questions linger about the broader implications of the Oval Office showdown. 

The day’s events serve as a reminder of the complex interplay between politics and market sentiment, highlighting the importance of staying informed and adaptable in an unpredictable economic landscape.

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