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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Netanyahu's Strategy Amid Ceasefire Talks: A Balancing Act


Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has pledged to intensify pressure on Hamas while navigating delicate negotiations for a ceasefire. The proposal, mediated by Egypt and Qatar, includes the release of hostages and humanitarian aid to Gaza. However, Netanyahu insists on Hamas disarming, a condition the group has rejected.

The ceasefire talks come amidst renewed violence, with Israeli strikes killing civilians in Gaza, including children, during the Eid al-Fitr holiday. Netanyahu's cabinet has approved measures to crush Hamas' military capabilities while maintaining diplomatic efforts. The situation remains tense, with both sides holding firm on their demands.



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