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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Northvolt Bankruptcy Casts Shadow Over Quebec EV Battery Plant

Swedish electric vehicle battery manufacturer Northvolt has filed for bankruptcy, raising concerns about the future of its ambitious $7-billion battery plant project in Quebec. The company cited rising capital costs, geopolitical instability, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in market demand as key factors leading to its financial collapse.

Despite the parent company's bankruptcy, Northvolt North America, a subsidiary, has stated that it remains solvent and intends to honor its obligations. However, the fate of the Quebec plant, known as Northvolt Six, remains uncertain. The project, located near Montreal, was expected to produce battery cells and cathode active materials for electric vehicles, with operations powered entirely by hydroelectric energy.

The Quebec and Canadian governments had pledged significant financial support for the project, with investments totaling billions of dollars. Quebec's Economy Minister Christine Fréchette expressed disappointment but emphasized the government's commitment to finding a buyer to take over Northvolt's North American operations and revive the project.

The bankruptcy marks a significant setback for Northvolt, which had been a key player in Europe's efforts to reduce reliance on Asian battery manufacturers. The future of the Quebec plant now hinges on the decisions of a court-appointed trustee and potential new investors.

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