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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Northvolt Bankruptcy Casts Shadow Over Quebec EV Battery Plant

Swedish electric vehicle battery manufacturer Northvolt has filed for bankruptcy, raising concerns about the future of its ambitious $7-billion battery plant project in Quebec. The company cited rising capital costs, geopolitical instability, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in market demand as key factors leading to its financial collapse.

Despite the parent company's bankruptcy, Northvolt North America, a subsidiary, has stated that it remains solvent and intends to honor its obligations. However, the fate of the Quebec plant, known as Northvolt Six, remains uncertain. The project, located near Montreal, was expected to produce battery cells and cathode active materials for electric vehicles, with operations powered entirely by hydroelectric energy.

The Quebec and Canadian governments had pledged significant financial support for the project, with investments totaling billions of dollars. Quebec's Economy Minister Christine Fréchette expressed disappointment but emphasized the government's commitment to finding a buyer to take over Northvolt's North American operations and revive the project.

The bankruptcy marks a significant setback for Northvolt, which had been a key player in Europe's efforts to reduce reliance on Asian battery manufacturers. The future of the Quebec plant now hinges on the decisions of a court-appointed trustee and potential new investors.

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