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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Ottawa Prioritizes Canadian Steel and Aluminum in Federal Grants


In a significant move to bolster domestic industries, the Canadian government has mandated that all federal grant recipients prioritize the use of Canadian steel and aluminum in their projects. This directive, announced by Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne, is part of Ottawa's broader strategy to support local manufacturing and counter external trade pressures.

The decision comes amidst ongoing challenges in the global trade landscape, including tariffs imposed by the United States on Canadian steel and aluminum. By emphasizing the use of homegrown materials, the government aims to safeguard jobs, strengthen the national economy, and ensure the sustainability of critical industries.

Minister Champagne highlighted the importance of Canadian steel and aluminum in supporting key sectors such as defense, automotive, and infrastructure. He emphasized that this initiative not only protects Canadian workers but also reinforces the country's commitment to a resilient and self-reliant economy.

This policy shift is expected to have a ripple effect across various industries, encouraging innovation and investment in Canadian manufacturing. It also underscores the government's dedication to fostering a competitive and sustainable industrial base in the face of global challenges.

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