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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Regulatory Warnings Ignored: Canadian Arm of China's Largest Bank Faces Scrutiny

The Canadian subsidiary of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), the world's largest bank, has come under fire for repeatedly violating anti-money laundering regulations. Despite multiple warnings from Canada's financial intelligence unit, FINTRAC, the bank failed to address critical compliance issues. These included neglecting to file suspicious transaction reports and not treating high-risk activities with the required level of scrutiny.

A routine audit in 2019 revealed several administrative violations, leading to a fine of $701,250 issued in 2021. The violations highlight systemic lapses in the bank's financial crime compliance controls, raising concerns about its commitment to combating money laundering and terrorist financing.

The case underscores the importance of robust regulatory oversight and the need for financial institutions to prioritize compliance to maintain the integrity of the financial system.

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