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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Security Breach: Journalist Accidentally Added to U.S. War Plan Chat

In a startling security lapse, Jeffrey Goldberg, editor-in-chief of *The Atlantic*, was mistakenly included in a Signal group chat discussing classified U.S. military operations. The chat, reportedly created by National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, involved high-ranking officials, including Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. The group was coordinating airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen.

Goldberg initially doubted the authenticity of the messages but realized their legitimacy when the strikes occurred as described in the chat. This incident has raised serious concerns about the handling of sensitive information on unsecured platforms. The White House has acknowledged the breach and is reviewing the situation.

This unprecedented mistake highlights the risks of using non-secure communication tools for national security matters, sparking debates about operational security and accountability.

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