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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Tensions Escalate in Gaza Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

 

In a tragic turn of events, Israeli fire has claimed the lives of at least two individuals in Gaza, further intensifying fears that the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hamas could collapse. The incident occurred in Rafah, with additional injuries reported in Khan Younis, located in the southern region of Gaza.

The ceasefire, which began in January, recently reached a critical juncture as its first phase concluded without a clear agreement on the next steps. Hamas has called for the initiation of a second phase, which would involve a permanent Israeli withdrawal and an end to the ongoing conflict. However, Israel has proposed a temporary extension of the truce, contingent on the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian detainees.

Adding to the tension, Israel has imposed a total blockade on Gaza, halting the supply of essential goods such as food and fuel. This has left the 2.3 million residents of Gaza in dire straits, with skyrocketing prices and dwindling resources. The blockade has also led to heightened fears of renewed violence, as Israeli tanks and artillery have intensified their presence along Gaza's borders.

The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with mediators urging both sides to find a resolution. However, the path forward remains uncertain, as both Israel and Hamas hold firm to their respective demands.

This latest escalation underscores the precarious nature of the ceasefire and the urgent need for a sustainable solution to the long-standing conflict.

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