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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Tensions Escalate in Gaza Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

 

In a tragic turn of events, Israeli fire has claimed the lives of at least two individuals in Gaza, further intensifying fears that the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hamas could collapse. The incident occurred in Rafah, with additional injuries reported in Khan Younis, located in the southern region of Gaza.

The ceasefire, which began in January, recently reached a critical juncture as its first phase concluded without a clear agreement on the next steps. Hamas has called for the initiation of a second phase, which would involve a permanent Israeli withdrawal and an end to the ongoing conflict. However, Israel has proposed a temporary extension of the truce, contingent on the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian detainees.

Adding to the tension, Israel has imposed a total blockade on Gaza, halting the supply of essential goods such as food and fuel. This has left the 2.3 million residents of Gaza in dire straits, with skyrocketing prices and dwindling resources. The blockade has also led to heightened fears of renewed violence, as Israeli tanks and artillery have intensified their presence along Gaza's borders.

The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with mediators urging both sides to find a resolution. However, the path forward remains uncertain, as both Israel and Hamas hold firm to their respective demands.

This latest escalation underscores the precarious nature of the ceasefire and the urgent need for a sustainable solution to the long-standing conflict.

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