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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...

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Tensions Escalate in Gaza Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

 

In a tragic turn of events, Israeli fire has claimed the lives of at least two individuals in Gaza, further intensifying fears that the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hamas could collapse. The incident occurred in Rafah, with additional injuries reported in Khan Younis, located in the southern region of Gaza.

The ceasefire, which began in January, recently reached a critical juncture as its first phase concluded without a clear agreement on the next steps. Hamas has called for the initiation of a second phase, which would involve a permanent Israeli withdrawal and an end to the ongoing conflict. However, Israel has proposed a temporary extension of the truce, contingent on the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian detainees.

Adding to the tension, Israel has imposed a total blockade on Gaza, halting the supply of essential goods such as food and fuel. This has left the 2.3 million residents of Gaza in dire straits, with skyrocketing prices and dwindling resources. The blockade has also led to heightened fears of renewed violence, as Israeli tanks and artillery have intensified their presence along Gaza's borders.

The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with mediators urging both sides to find a resolution. However, the path forward remains uncertain, as both Israel and Hamas hold firm to their respective demands.

This latest escalation underscores the precarious nature of the ceasefire and the urgent need for a sustainable solution to the long-standing conflict.

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