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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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The stock market experienced a downturn today as futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite slipped. This decline follows a brief rally fueled by the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. While the Fed's move initially reassured investors, concerns about inflation and slower economic growth have resurfaced, dampening market sentiment.

Futures linked to the Dow fell by 0.6%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures dropped by 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. The Federal Reserve's updated projections, which indicate higher inflation and reduced economic growth, have raised doubts about the path to potential rate cuts later this year. These broader economic concerns have weighed heavily on investor confidence.


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