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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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The stock market experienced a downturn today as futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite slipped. This decline follows a brief rally fueled by the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. While the Fed's move initially reassured investors, concerns about inflation and slower economic growth have resurfaced, dampening market sentiment.

Futures linked to the Dow fell by 0.6%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures dropped by 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. The Federal Reserve's updated projections, which indicate higher inflation and reduced economic growth, have raised doubts about the path to potential rate cuts later this year. These broader economic concerns have weighed heavily on investor confidence.


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