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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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The stock market experienced a downturn today as futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite slipped. This decline follows a brief rally fueled by the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. While the Fed's move initially reassured investors, concerns about inflation and slower economic growth have resurfaced, dampening market sentiment.

Futures linked to the Dow fell by 0.6%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures dropped by 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. The Federal Reserve's updated projections, which indicate higher inflation and reduced economic growth, have raised doubts about the path to potential rate cuts later this year. These broader economic concerns have weighed heavily on investor confidence.


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