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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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The stock market experienced a downturn today as futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite slipped. This decline follows a brief rally fueled by the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. While the Fed's move initially reassured investors, concerns about inflation and slower economic growth have resurfaced, dampening market sentiment.

Futures linked to the Dow fell by 0.6%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures dropped by 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. The Federal Reserve's updated projections, which indicate higher inflation and reduced economic growth, have raised doubts about the path to potential rate cuts later this year. These broader economic concerns have weighed heavily on investor confidence.


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