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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Trade Tensions Escalate as Trump Maintains Tariffs Amid Ford's Policy Shift

 

In a recent development, U.S. President Donald Trump has decided to keep the 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports intact, despite Ontario Premier Doug Ford's decision to lift the electricity tax on U.S.-bound energy. The tariffs, initially imposed as part of a broader trade strategy, have been a point of contention between the two nations.

Ford's move to remove the electricity tax was seen as an olive branch to ease trade tensions. However, Trump's administration has opted to maintain the tariffs, citing the need to protect domestic industries. This decision has sparked mixed reactions, with some applauding the commitment to American manufacturing, while others criticize the potential strain on U.S.-Canada relations.

The ongoing trade dispute underscores the complexities of international economic policies and their far-reaching implications. As both leaders stand firm on their respective stances, the path to resolution remains uncertain.

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