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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...

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Trump Administration Pushes Forward with Federal Workforce Cuts


The Trump administration is moving ahead with a significant reduction in the federal workforce, following the submission of downsizing plans by various agencies. This initiative, part of a broader effort to streamline government operations, has sparked widespread concern and debate.

Key agencies, including the Department of Veterans Affairs and the Department of Education, are expected to see substantial layoffs, with thousands of jobs on the line. The administration's directive emphasizes cutting non-essential functions and reducing budgets, aiming to reshape the federal bureaucracy. However, these measures have faced legal challenges, with courts recently ordering the reinstatement of some dismissed employees.

The economic implications of these layoffs are also under scrutiny, as fears of a potential recession loom. Critics argue that the cuts could disrupt essential services and harm vulnerable populations, while supporters view them as a necessary step toward fiscal responsibility.

This development marks a pivotal moment in the administration's efforts to redefine the role and scope of the federal government.

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