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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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Trump Defends Tariffs Amidst Economic Uncertainty



In a recent address to Congress, President Donald Trump defended his tariff strategy, despite acknowledging the potential economic discomfort it may cause. Trump emphasized that the tariffs, which represent the largest increases in a century, are designed to generate significant revenue and rebalance what he perceives as unfair trading relationships. He assured Americans that the economic pain, manifesting as higher prices, would be a "little disturbance" that the nation could overcome.

Trump's speech, which lasted a record-setting 100 minutes, focused on his political strengths, including immigration policies and social issues, while spending relatively little time addressing consumer prices and inflation. He blamed high prices on his predecessor, Joe Biden, and offered few new ideas to lower costs.

The president's approval rating has declined in recent polls, and data shows new strains on the economy, including stagnating factory activity, simmering inflation, and declining consumer confidence. Despite these challenges, Trump remains committed to his tariff strategy, believing it will ultimately benefit the American economy.


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