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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Trump Defends Tariffs Amidst Economic Uncertainty



In a recent address to Congress, President Donald Trump defended his tariff strategy, despite acknowledging the potential economic discomfort it may cause. Trump emphasized that the tariffs, which represent the largest increases in a century, are designed to generate significant revenue and rebalance what he perceives as unfair trading relationships. He assured Americans that the economic pain, manifesting as higher prices, would be a "little disturbance" that the nation could overcome.

Trump's speech, which lasted a record-setting 100 minutes, focused on his political strengths, including immigration policies and social issues, while spending relatively little time addressing consumer prices and inflation. He blamed high prices on his predecessor, Joe Biden, and offered few new ideas to lower costs.

The president's approval rating has declined in recent polls, and data shows new strains on the economy, including stagnating factory activity, simmering inflation, and declining consumer confidence. Despite these challenges, Trump remains committed to his tariff strategy, believing it will ultimately benefit the American economy.


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