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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump Grants 30-Day Reprieve on Auto Tariffs for Mexico and Canada


In a recent move, President Donald Trump has announced a 30-day pause on tariffs for auto imports from Mexico and Canada. This decision comes after requests from major automakers, including Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, who argued that the tariffs would put them at a competitive disadvantage.

The temporary exemption is intended to give these companies time to shift production to the United States, where they will not be subject to tariffs. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the ultimate goal is to boost domestic auto manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign production.

While the reprieve offers some relief to the auto industry, it is only a temporary measure. The 25% tariffs on auto imports from Mexico and Canada are still set to go into effect on April 2, unless further exemptions are granted.

The decision has sparked mixed reactions. Some industry experts believe that the pause will provide much-needed breathing room for automakers, while others are concerned about the long-term impact on cross-border supply chains.

As the deadline approaches, the auto industry will be closely monitoring any further developments and potential negotiations between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.



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