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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump Grants 30-Day Reprieve on Auto Tariffs for Mexico and Canada


In a recent move, President Donald Trump has announced a 30-day pause on tariffs for auto imports from Mexico and Canada. This decision comes after requests from major automakers, including Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, who argued that the tariffs would put them at a competitive disadvantage.

The temporary exemption is intended to give these companies time to shift production to the United States, where they will not be subject to tariffs. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the ultimate goal is to boost domestic auto manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign production.

While the reprieve offers some relief to the auto industry, it is only a temporary measure. The 25% tariffs on auto imports from Mexico and Canada are still set to go into effect on April 2, unless further exemptions are granted.

The decision has sparked mixed reactions. Some industry experts believe that the pause will provide much-needed breathing room for automakers, while others are concerned about the long-term impact on cross-border supply chains.

As the deadline approaches, the auto industry will be closely monitoring any further developments and potential negotiations between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.



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