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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Trump Grants 30-Day Reprieve on Auto Tariffs for Mexico and Canada


In a recent move, President Donald Trump has announced a 30-day pause on tariffs for auto imports from Mexico and Canada. This decision comes after requests from major automakers, including Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, who argued that the tariffs would put them at a competitive disadvantage.

The temporary exemption is intended to give these companies time to shift production to the United States, where they will not be subject to tariffs. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the ultimate goal is to boost domestic auto manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign production.

While the reprieve offers some relief to the auto industry, it is only a temporary measure. The 25% tariffs on auto imports from Mexico and Canada are still set to go into effect on April 2, unless further exemptions are granted.

The decision has sparked mixed reactions. Some industry experts believe that the pause will provide much-needed breathing room for automakers, while others are concerned about the long-term impact on cross-border supply chains.

As the deadline approaches, the auto industry will be closely monitoring any further developments and potential negotiations between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.



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