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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Trump Grants 30-Day Reprieve on Auto Tariffs for Mexico and Canada


In a recent move, President Donald Trump has announced a 30-day pause on tariffs for auto imports from Mexico and Canada. This decision comes after requests from major automakers, including Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, who argued that the tariffs would put them at a competitive disadvantage.

The temporary exemption is intended to give these companies time to shift production to the United States, where they will not be subject to tariffs. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the ultimate goal is to boost domestic auto manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign production.

While the reprieve offers some relief to the auto industry, it is only a temporary measure. The 25% tariffs on auto imports from Mexico and Canada are still set to go into effect on April 2, unless further exemptions are granted.

The decision has sparked mixed reactions. Some industry experts believe that the pause will provide much-needed breathing room for automakers, while others are concerned about the long-term impact on cross-border supply chains.

As the deadline approaches, the auto industry will be closely monitoring any further developments and potential negotiations between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.



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