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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Trump Grants 30-Day Reprieve on Auto Tariffs for Mexico and Canada


In a recent move, President Donald Trump has announced a 30-day pause on tariffs for auto imports from Mexico and Canada. This decision comes after requests from major automakers, including Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, who argued that the tariffs would put them at a competitive disadvantage.

The temporary exemption is intended to give these companies time to shift production to the United States, where they will not be subject to tariffs. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the ultimate goal is to boost domestic auto manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign production.

While the reprieve offers some relief to the auto industry, it is only a temporary measure. The 25% tariffs on auto imports from Mexico and Canada are still set to go into effect on April 2, unless further exemptions are granted.

The decision has sparked mixed reactions. Some industry experts believe that the pause will provide much-needed breathing room for automakers, while others are concerned about the long-term impact on cross-border supply chains.

As the deadline approaches, the auto industry will be closely monitoring any further developments and potential negotiations between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.



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