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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump's Remarks Stir Political Debate in Canada


In a recent interview with Fox News, U.S. President Donald Trump made waves by stating that he would prefer dealing with a Liberal government in Canada over a Conservative one. Trump described Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre as "stupidly, no friend of mine," citing negative comments Poilievre has made about him. Trump added that he finds it "easier to deal with a Liberal" and expressed indifference about the outcome of Canada's upcoming federal election.

Poilievre responded to Trump's remarks during a press conference in Sudbury, Ontario, emphasizing his strong leadership and commitment to putting Canada first. He criticized the Liberals, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, for policies he claims have weakened Canada and driven investment south of the border. Poilievre framed Trump's comments as an endorsement of Carney, suggesting that Trump prefers a weaker Canada under Liberal leadership.

The exchange has sparked significant political discourse, with both parties using Trump's comments to bolster their narratives ahead of the election. The Liberal Party has seen a rise in polls since Carney assumed leadership, while Poilievre continues to position himself as a tough negotiator capable of standing up to Trump.

The remarks highlight the complex dynamics of U.S.-Canada relations and their influence on Canadian politics.

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