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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Trump's Remarks Stir Political Debate in Canada


In a recent interview with Fox News, U.S. President Donald Trump made waves by stating that he would prefer dealing with a Liberal government in Canada over a Conservative one. Trump described Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre as "stupidly, no friend of mine," citing negative comments Poilievre has made about him. Trump added that he finds it "easier to deal with a Liberal" and expressed indifference about the outcome of Canada's upcoming federal election.

Poilievre responded to Trump's remarks during a press conference in Sudbury, Ontario, emphasizing his strong leadership and commitment to putting Canada first. He criticized the Liberals, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, for policies he claims have weakened Canada and driven investment south of the border. Poilievre framed Trump's comments as an endorsement of Carney, suggesting that Trump prefers a weaker Canada under Liberal leadership.

The exchange has sparked significant political discourse, with both parties using Trump's comments to bolster their narratives ahead of the election. The Liberal Party has seen a rise in polls since Carney assumed leadership, while Poilievre continues to position himself as a tough negotiator capable of standing up to Trump.

The remarks highlight the complex dynamics of U.S.-Canada relations and their influence on Canadian politics.

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