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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Trump's Remarks Stir Political Debate in Canada


In a recent interview with Fox News, U.S. President Donald Trump made waves by stating that he would prefer dealing with a Liberal government in Canada over a Conservative one. Trump described Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre as "stupidly, no friend of mine," citing negative comments Poilievre has made about him. Trump added that he finds it "easier to deal with a Liberal" and expressed indifference about the outcome of Canada's upcoming federal election.

Poilievre responded to Trump's remarks during a press conference in Sudbury, Ontario, emphasizing his strong leadership and commitment to putting Canada first. He criticized the Liberals, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, for policies he claims have weakened Canada and driven investment south of the border. Poilievre framed Trump's comments as an endorsement of Carney, suggesting that Trump prefers a weaker Canada under Liberal leadership.

The exchange has sparked significant political discourse, with both parties using Trump's comments to bolster their narratives ahead of the election. The Liberal Party has seen a rise in polls since Carney assumed leadership, while Poilievre continues to position himself as a tough negotiator capable of standing up to Trump.

The remarks highlight the complex dynamics of U.S.-Canada relations and their influence on Canadian politics.

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