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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Trump's Remarks Stir Political Debate in Canada


In a recent interview with Fox News, U.S. President Donald Trump made waves by stating that he would prefer dealing with a Liberal government in Canada over a Conservative one. Trump described Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre as "stupidly, no friend of mine," citing negative comments Poilievre has made about him. Trump added that he finds it "easier to deal with a Liberal" and expressed indifference about the outcome of Canada's upcoming federal election.

Poilievre responded to Trump's remarks during a press conference in Sudbury, Ontario, emphasizing his strong leadership and commitment to putting Canada first. He criticized the Liberals, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, for policies he claims have weakened Canada and driven investment south of the border. Poilievre framed Trump's comments as an endorsement of Carney, suggesting that Trump prefers a weaker Canada under Liberal leadership.

The exchange has sparked significant political discourse, with both parties using Trump's comments to bolster their narratives ahead of the election. The Liberal Party has seen a rise in polls since Carney assumed leadership, while Poilievre continues to position himself as a tough negotiator capable of standing up to Trump.

The remarks highlight the complex dynamics of U.S.-Canada relations and their influence on Canadian politics.

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