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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Trump's Tariff Tango: The Strain on U.S.-Canada Relations

The relationship between the United States and Canada, historically marked by mutual respect and cooperation, has taken a sharp turn under President Donald Trump's administration. The latest chapter in this strained dynamic is Trump's imposition of sweeping 25% tariffs on Canadian goods, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. While these issues are more pronounced at the U.S.-Mexico border, Canada has found itself caught in the crossfire.

The tariffs, which also include a 10% levy on Canadian energy exports, have sparked a trade war between the two nations. Canada has responded with its own counter-tariffs, targeting $30 billion worth of U.S. goods, with plans for additional measures. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has vowed to stand firm, emphasizing the need to protect Canadian jobs and the economy.

For consumers, the impact is immediate and tangible. Prices for everyday goods, from groceries to construction materials, are expected to rise as businesses pass on the increased costs. Economists warn that these tariffs could lead to job losses, economic instability, and even a potential recession.

The broader implications are equally concerning. The tariffs threaten to unravel decades of free trade agreements and could set a precedent for future economic conflicts. As both nations brace for the fallout, the question remains: can this long-standing partnership withstand the strain?

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