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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...

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Trump's Tariff Tango: The Strain on U.S.-Canada Relations

The relationship between the United States and Canada, historically marked by mutual respect and cooperation, has taken a sharp turn under President Donald Trump's administration. The latest chapter in this strained dynamic is Trump's imposition of sweeping 25% tariffs on Canadian goods, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. While these issues are more pronounced at the U.S.-Mexico border, Canada has found itself caught in the crossfire.

The tariffs, which also include a 10% levy on Canadian energy exports, have sparked a trade war between the two nations. Canada has responded with its own counter-tariffs, targeting $30 billion worth of U.S. goods, with plans for additional measures. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has vowed to stand firm, emphasizing the need to protect Canadian jobs and the economy.

For consumers, the impact is immediate and tangible. Prices for everyday goods, from groceries to construction materials, are expected to rise as businesses pass on the increased costs. Economists warn that these tariffs could lead to job losses, economic instability, and even a potential recession.

The broader implications are equally concerning. The tariffs threaten to unravel decades of free trade agreements and could set a precedent for future economic conflicts. As both nations brace for the fallout, the question remains: can this long-standing partnership withstand the strain?

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