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TSX Eyes Gains as Trump-Xi Summit Looms and Oil Steadies Near $95

Canadian Money Brief · Monday, May 11, 2026 Canadian equities are set for a cautious but constructive open this Monday as investors balance a packed macro calendar against an energy sector still reeling from one of its most volatile weeks in recent memory. TSX at a Glance The S&P/TSX Composite closed Friday at 34,077.76 , up 221 points (+0.65%) to cap a week dominated by whipsaw oil moves and a fragile Middle East ceasefire. The energy sector has led TSX gains over the past seven days — up roughly 5% — even as WTI crude fell about 7% on the week, settling near $95.42 per barrel . That apparent contradiction reflects Canadian producers' longer-term optimism on supply tightness rather than any single day's price swing. For the year, the TSX is up approximately 35%, outpacing most major global benchmarks. The Big Story: Trump Heads to Beijing All eyes this week will be on Washington and Beijing. President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive in China on Wednesday , with formal ...

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Trump's Tariff Tango: The Strain on U.S.-Canada Relations

The relationship between the United States and Canada, historically marked by mutual respect and cooperation, has taken a sharp turn under President Donald Trump's administration. The latest chapter in this strained dynamic is Trump's imposition of sweeping 25% tariffs on Canadian goods, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. While these issues are more pronounced at the U.S.-Mexico border, Canada has found itself caught in the crossfire.

The tariffs, which also include a 10% levy on Canadian energy exports, have sparked a trade war between the two nations. Canada has responded with its own counter-tariffs, targeting $30 billion worth of U.S. goods, with plans for additional measures. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has vowed to stand firm, emphasizing the need to protect Canadian jobs and the economy.

For consumers, the impact is immediate and tangible. Prices for everyday goods, from groceries to construction materials, are expected to rise as businesses pass on the increased costs. Economists warn that these tariffs could lead to job losses, economic instability, and even a potential recession.

The broader implications are equally concerning. The tariffs threaten to unravel decades of free trade agreements and could set a precedent for future economic conflicts. As both nations brace for the fallout, the question remains: can this long-standing partnership withstand the strain?

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