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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Ukraine's Retaliatory Strike: Air Force Targets Bryansk Border Post

In a decisive response to relentless drone attacks, Ukraine's air force launched a strategic strike on a border post in Russia's Bryansk region. The targeted site was identified as a key location for launching Russian attack drones, which have been terrorizing Ukrainian civilian infrastructure daily. 

The operation resulted in the destruction of military equipment, communication systems, and other critical infrastructure at the border post. Ukrainian officials emphasized that this strike was a necessary measure to counteract the ongoing aggression and reduce the enemy's ability to conduct drone operations against Ukraine.

This bold move underscores Ukraine's determination to defend its sovereignty and protect its citizens from persistent threats. The strike is expected to significantly impact Russia's drone-launching capabilities in the region. 



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