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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street Stumbles Amid Inflation and Tariff Concerns

                                        

Wall Street faced a sharp downturn as fresh U.S. economic data reignited fears of inflation and tariff impacts. The S&P 500 dropped 1.97%, closing at 5,580.94 points, while the Nasdaq fell 2.70% to 17,322.99 points, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1.69% to 41,583.90 points.

The latest data revealed weaker-than-expected consumer spending in February, coupled with a significant rise in underlying prices—the highest in 13 months. Additionally, a University of Michigan survey highlighted soaring inflation expectations, reaching their highest levels in over two years.

These developments, combined with escalating tariff measures from the Trump administration, have heightened concerns about the economic outlook. Major tech stocks, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple, saw significant losses, reflecting broader market unease.

Market analysts warn that the inflationary effects of tariffs may intensify in the coming months, further complicating the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. As uncertainty looms, businesses and investors are adopting a cautious stance, bracing for potential economic turbulence.

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