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Geopolitical Tensions Rattle Wall Street as Futures Slide on Trump’s Iran Warning

  Markets tumbled Thursday morning as renewed geopolitical uncertainty sent U.S. stock futures sharply lower, with investors reacting to President Trump’s latest remarks that the war with Iran is “not yet over.”   U.S. stock futures stumbled early Thursday after President Trump’s national address failed to signal a clear end to the ongoing U.S.–Israeli conflict with Iran. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 600 points , while S&P 500 futures fell 1.5% and Nasdaq 100 futures slid 2% , reflecting heightened investor anxiety.  The market’s reaction was driven largely by Trump’s assertion that the conflict is not yet resolved, despite reports that Iran’s president has approached the U.S. about a potential ceasefire. Trump emphasized that any agreement would depend on reopening the Strait of Hormuz , a critical global energy chokepoint. He also warned that U.S. forces would “hit Iran hard” before any withdrawal in the coming weeks.  ...
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Bank of Canada’s Rate Decision Hangs in the Balance Amid Trade Turmoil and Election Uncertainty

The Bank of Canada is facing a tough call on its latest interest rate decision, with market expectations nearly split between a rate cut and a pause. The central bank has already made seven consecutive cuts since June 2024, bringing its policy rate to 2.75%. However, ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming federal election have complicated the outlook.

Recent inflation data showed a slowdown, with March’s annual inflation rate cooling to 2.3%. This has given policymakers more room to consider another rate cut, but concerns remain about the broader economic impact of U.S. tariffs on Canadian businesses and consumers. Some economists argue that a cut is necessary to cushion the economy, while others warn that holding steady might be the safer move.

Governor Tiff Macklem has acknowledged the “pervasive uncertainty” created by shifting trade policies, stating that multiple economic outcomes remain plausible. With consumer confidence shaken and the housing market struggling, the Bank’s decision today could have significant ripple effects across the economy.

Will the Bank of Canada opt for another cut, or will it hold firm in the face of uncertainty? The answer will shape Canada’s economic trajectory in the months ahead.

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