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Tariff Ultimatum on Iran Trade Sparks Global Tension

                                                Doing Business With Iran? Trump Says Pay a 25% US Tariff. A new 25% tariff threat from President Donald Trump has sent a jolt through international markets, after he declared that any nation continuing to trade with Iran would face steep U.S. penalties. The announcement, delivered abruptly through social media, signaled a sharp escalation in Washington’s effort to isolate Tehran economically. The move comes amid heightened criticism of Iran’s internal crackdown on dissent, which U.S. officials argue warrants stronger international pressure. By targeting not just Iran but its trading partners, the administration aims to force countries—including major global players—to reconsider their economic ties with Tehran. The threat immediately stirred uncertainty across global markets. Oil prices climbed...

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Bank of Canada’s Rate Decision Hangs in the Balance Amid Trade Turmoil and Election Uncertainty

The Bank of Canada is facing a tough call on its latest interest rate decision, with market expectations nearly split between a rate cut and a pause. The central bank has already made seven consecutive cuts since June 2024, bringing its policy rate to 2.75%. However, ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming federal election have complicated the outlook.

Recent inflation data showed a slowdown, with March’s annual inflation rate cooling to 2.3%. This has given policymakers more room to consider another rate cut, but concerns remain about the broader economic impact of U.S. tariffs on Canadian businesses and consumers. Some economists argue that a cut is necessary to cushion the economy, while others warn that holding steady might be the safer move.

Governor Tiff Macklem has acknowledged the “pervasive uncertainty” created by shifting trade policies, stating that multiple economic outcomes remain plausible. With consumer confidence shaken and the housing market struggling, the Bank’s decision today could have significant ripple effects across the economy.

Will the Bank of Canada opt for another cut, or will it hold firm in the face of uncertainty? The answer will shape Canada’s economic trajectory in the months ahead.

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