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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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Diplomatic Struggles: Russia and the U.S. Face Challenges in Ukraine Peace Talks

 

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has acknowledged the difficulties in reaching a peace agreement with the United States regarding the ongoing war in Ukraine. In an interview with the Kommersant newspaper, Lavrov stated that while discussions are taking place, agreeing on the key components of a settlement remains a challenge.

The diplomatic negotiations come amid continued tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with both sides seeking a resolution that aligns with their respective interests. While U.S. officials have expressed optimism about the possibility of a peace deal, Russia has been cautious, emphasizing the complexity of the discussions.

Despite the hurdles, efforts to broker a lasting peace continue, with international stakeholders closely monitoring the situation. The outcome of these negotiations could have significant implications for global stability and the future of Ukraine’s sovereignty.


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