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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Diplomatic Struggles: Russia and the U.S. Face Challenges in Ukraine Peace Talks

 

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has acknowledged the difficulties in reaching a peace agreement with the United States regarding the ongoing war in Ukraine. In an interview with the Kommersant newspaper, Lavrov stated that while discussions are taking place, agreeing on the key components of a settlement remains a challenge.

The diplomatic negotiations come amid continued tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with both sides seeking a resolution that aligns with their respective interests. While U.S. officials have expressed optimism about the possibility of a peace deal, Russia has been cautious, emphasizing the complexity of the discussions.

Despite the hurdles, efforts to broker a lasting peace continue, with international stakeholders closely monitoring the situation. The outcome of these negotiations could have significant implications for global stability and the future of Ukraine’s sovereignty.


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