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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Global Markets Rebound as Trump Eases Trade Tensions

In a dramatic turn of events, European and Asian stock markets surged following U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to pause steep tariffs on most countries. This move, announced after a period of heightened trade tensions, brought relief to global investors and sparked a rally across major indices.

European markets saw significant gains, with Frankfurt's DAX jumping over 7%, Paris climbing 7.3%, and London's FTSE 100 rising by 5.3%. Asian markets mirrored this optimism, with indices like Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi posting substantial increases. The pause in tariffs, however, excluded China, which faced an escalation in duties to 125%, intensifying the trade war between the two economic giants.

While the temporary suspension of tariffs has provided a much-needed boost to global markets, analysts caution that uncertainty remains. The baseline 10% tariff on imports persists, and the unpredictability of future trade policies continues to loom over the global economy.

This development underscores the delicate balance between economic diplomacy and market stability, as nations navigate the complexities of international trade in an era of shifting policies.

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