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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Global Trade Tensions Surge as Tariffs Climb to 125%


In an unexpected move, tariffs have been raised to a significant 125%, sending shockwaves across global trade markets. This steep increase has sparked intense debates among governments, economists, and businesses alike, as the implications are far-reaching.

Supporters of the hike argue that it will protect domestic industries from foreign competition, fostering local economic growth and employment. They see the move as a necessary measure in an increasingly competitive global economy.

However, critics warn of potential consequences, including higher prices for consumers, disrupted supply chains, and strained international relations. Many industries reliant on imported goods are already voicing concerns over the financial strain this decision could impose.

As the dust settles, stakeholders are left to navigate an increasingly complex trade environment. How this decision will ultimately impact global commerce remains a critical question.



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