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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Global Trade Tensions Surge as Tariffs Climb to 125%


In an unexpected move, tariffs have been raised to a significant 125%, sending shockwaves across global trade markets. This steep increase has sparked intense debates among governments, economists, and businesses alike, as the implications are far-reaching.

Supporters of the hike argue that it will protect domestic industries from foreign competition, fostering local economic growth and employment. They see the move as a necessary measure in an increasingly competitive global economy.

However, critics warn of potential consequences, including higher prices for consumers, disrupted supply chains, and strained international relations. Many industries reliant on imported goods are already voicing concerns over the financial strain this decision could impose.

As the dust settles, stakeholders are left to navigate an increasingly complex trade environment. How this decision will ultimately impact global commerce remains a critical question.



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