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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Global Trade Tensions Surge as Tariffs Climb to 125%


In an unexpected move, tariffs have been raised to a significant 125%, sending shockwaves across global trade markets. This steep increase has sparked intense debates among governments, economists, and businesses alike, as the implications are far-reaching.

Supporters of the hike argue that it will protect domestic industries from foreign competition, fostering local economic growth and employment. They see the move as a necessary measure in an increasingly competitive global economy.

However, critics warn of potential consequences, including higher prices for consumers, disrupted supply chains, and strained international relations. Many industries reliant on imported goods are already voicing concerns over the financial strain this decision could impose.

As the dust settles, stakeholders are left to navigate an increasingly complex trade environment. How this decision will ultimately impact global commerce remains a critical question.



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