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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Global Trade Tensions Surge as Tariffs Climb to 125%


In an unexpected move, tariffs have been raised to a significant 125%, sending shockwaves across global trade markets. This steep increase has sparked intense debates among governments, economists, and businesses alike, as the implications are far-reaching.

Supporters of the hike argue that it will protect domestic industries from foreign competition, fostering local economic growth and employment. They see the move as a necessary measure in an increasingly competitive global economy.

However, critics warn of potential consequences, including higher prices for consumers, disrupted supply chains, and strained international relations. Many industries reliant on imported goods are already voicing concerns over the financial strain this decision could impose.

As the dust settles, stakeholders are left to navigate an increasingly complex trade environment. How this decision will ultimately impact global commerce remains a critical question.



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