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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Tech Stocks Surge Amid Tariff Relief: A Premarket Rally

Wall Street is buzzing as U.S. stock futures climb, fueled by a temporary reprieve on tariffs for certain electronics. The White House announced exemptions for smartphones, computers, and other consumer electronics, sparking optimism among investors. Tech giants like Apple and Nvidia saw significant premarket gains, with Apple rising 4.7% and Nvidia up 2.1%.

While the exemptions offer a short-term boost, uncertainty looms as President Trump hinted at upcoming tariffs on semiconductors. Analysts remain cautious, noting the potential impact on economic growth and inflation. Despite this, the Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 1.46%, reflecting the market's positive sentiment.

This rally comes after a week of volatility, with the S&P 500 recording its biggest weekly gain since November 2023. As earnings season kicks off, investors will closely monitor corporate results and economic data for further insights.



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