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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Tech Stocks Surge Amid Tariff Relief: A Premarket Rally

Wall Street is buzzing as U.S. stock futures climb, fueled by a temporary reprieve on tariffs for certain electronics. The White House announced exemptions for smartphones, computers, and other consumer electronics, sparking optimism among investors. Tech giants like Apple and Nvidia saw significant premarket gains, with Apple rising 4.7% and Nvidia up 2.1%.

While the exemptions offer a short-term boost, uncertainty looms as President Trump hinted at upcoming tariffs on semiconductors. Analysts remain cautious, noting the potential impact on economic growth and inflation. Despite this, the Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 1.46%, reflecting the market's positive sentiment.

This rally comes after a week of volatility, with the S&P 500 recording its biggest weekly gain since November 2023. As earnings season kicks off, investors will closely monitor corporate results and economic data for further insights.



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