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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Tech Stocks Surge Amid Tariff Relief: A Premarket Rally

Wall Street is buzzing as U.S. stock futures climb, fueled by a temporary reprieve on tariffs for certain electronics. The White House announced exemptions for smartphones, computers, and other consumer electronics, sparking optimism among investors. Tech giants like Apple and Nvidia saw significant premarket gains, with Apple rising 4.7% and Nvidia up 2.1%.

While the exemptions offer a short-term boost, uncertainty looms as President Trump hinted at upcoming tariffs on semiconductors. Analysts remain cautious, noting the potential impact on economic growth and inflation. Despite this, the Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 1.46%, reflecting the market's positive sentiment.

This rally comes after a week of volatility, with the S&P 500 recording its biggest weekly gain since November 2023. As earnings season kicks off, investors will closely monitor corporate results and economic data for further insights.



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