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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...
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Trade Tensions Ease as China Signals Openness to Dialogue


China has expressed its willingness to engage in trade talks with the United States, following President Donald Trump's indication that tariffs on Chinese goods could be significantly reduced. The announcement comes amidst escalating trade tensions, with tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. Beijing, which has imposed counter-tariffs of 125% on U.S. goods, reiterated its stance that trade wars have no winners and emphasized the importance of mutual respect in negotiations.

President Trump acknowledged the high tariff levels and hinted at substantial reductions, stating that while tariffs won't return to zero, they will be lowered significantly. This shift in tone has brought cautious optimism to global markets, which have been rattled by the ongoing trade conflict. Both sides appear to be signaling a willingness to de-escalate, though formal negotiations have yet to begin. 

The developments mark a potential turning point in the trade war, offering hope for a resolution that could stabilize global economic relations.

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