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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Trade Tensions Ease as China Signals Openness to Dialogue


China has expressed its willingness to engage in trade talks with the United States, following President Donald Trump's indication that tariffs on Chinese goods could be significantly reduced. The announcement comes amidst escalating trade tensions, with tariffs reaching as high as 145% on Chinese imports. Beijing, which has imposed counter-tariffs of 125% on U.S. goods, reiterated its stance that trade wars have no winners and emphasized the importance of mutual respect in negotiations.

President Trump acknowledged the high tariff levels and hinted at substantial reductions, stating that while tariffs won't return to zero, they will be lowered significantly. This shift in tone has brought cautious optimism to global markets, which have been rattled by the ongoing trade conflict. Both sides appear to be signaling a willingness to de-escalate, though formal negotiations have yet to begin. 

The developments mark a potential turning point in the trade war, offering hope for a resolution that could stabilize global economic relations.

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