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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump Eases Global Tariffs but Maintains Stance on Canada



In a surprising move, U.S. President Donald Trump has partially reversed his aggressive tariff policies, pausing the highest levies on several nations for 90 days. However, Canada remains excluded from this reprieve. The baseline 10% tariff on imports to the U.S. persists, alongside specific duties on Canadian goods, including automobiles and energy products.

Trump's decision follows mounting pressure from over 75 countries seeking negotiations to mitigate the economic chaos caused by his "reciprocal" tariff regime. While some nations saw relief, Trump doubled down on tariffs for China, raising them to a staggering 125%.

Canada, meanwhile, has responded with retaliatory measures, including tariffs on U.S. vehicles and other goods. The ongoing trade tensions highlight the complexities of Trump's global trade strategy and its ripple effects on international markets.

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