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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Trump Eases Global Tariffs but Maintains Stance on Canada



In a surprising move, U.S. President Donald Trump has partially reversed his aggressive tariff policies, pausing the highest levies on several nations for 90 days. However, Canada remains excluded from this reprieve. The baseline 10% tariff on imports to the U.S. persists, alongside specific duties on Canadian goods, including automobiles and energy products.

Trump's decision follows mounting pressure from over 75 countries seeking negotiations to mitigate the economic chaos caused by his "reciprocal" tariff regime. While some nations saw relief, Trump doubled down on tariffs for China, raising them to a staggering 125%.

Canada, meanwhile, has responded with retaliatory measures, including tariffs on U.S. vehicles and other goods. The ongoing trade tensions highlight the complexities of Trump's global trade strategy and its ripple effects on international markets.

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