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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Trump Eases Global Tariffs but Maintains Stance on Canada



In a surprising move, U.S. President Donald Trump has partially reversed his aggressive tariff policies, pausing the highest levies on several nations for 90 days. However, Canada remains excluded from this reprieve. The baseline 10% tariff on imports to the U.S. persists, alongside specific duties on Canadian goods, including automobiles and energy products.

Trump's decision follows mounting pressure from over 75 countries seeking negotiations to mitigate the economic chaos caused by his "reciprocal" tariff regime. While some nations saw relief, Trump doubled down on tariffs for China, raising them to a staggering 125%.

Canada, meanwhile, has responded with retaliatory measures, including tariffs on U.S. vehicles and other goods. The ongoing trade tensions highlight the complexities of Trump's global trade strategy and its ripple effects on international markets.

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