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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Trump's Affection for Royals: A Potential Lifeline for UK Trade

In a recent interview, U.S. Vice President JD Vance hinted at a promising trade deal between the United States and the United Kingdom, attributing the potential breakthrough to President Donald Trump's admiration for the British royal family. Vance emphasized the cultural and historical ties between the two nations, suggesting that Trump's fondness for the monarchy could play a pivotal role in easing trade tensions.

The United States has imposed sweeping tariffs on imports, with British goods facing a 10% charge and steel and car exports enduring a 25% rate. Despite these challenges, Vance expressed optimism about reaching a mutually beneficial agreement, citing the balanced trade relationship between the two countries. He also highlighted the reciprocal nature of U.S.-UK trade, contrasting it with the more restrictive policies of other European nations.

As negotiations continue, the cultural affinity and shared values between the U.S. and UK may prove to be a unique advantage in navigating global trade tensions. Vance's comments underscore the importance of diplomacy and personal connections in shaping international relations. 



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