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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Trump's Affection for Royals: A Potential Lifeline for UK Trade

In a recent interview, U.S. Vice President JD Vance hinted at a promising trade deal between the United States and the United Kingdom, attributing the potential breakthrough to President Donald Trump's admiration for the British royal family. Vance emphasized the cultural and historical ties between the two nations, suggesting that Trump's fondness for the monarchy could play a pivotal role in easing trade tensions.

The United States has imposed sweeping tariffs on imports, with British goods facing a 10% charge and steel and car exports enduring a 25% rate. Despite these challenges, Vance expressed optimism about reaching a mutually beneficial agreement, citing the balanced trade relationship between the two countries. He also highlighted the reciprocal nature of U.S.-UK trade, contrasting it with the more restrictive policies of other European nations.

As negotiations continue, the cultural affinity and shared values between the U.S. and UK may prove to be a unique advantage in navigating global trade tensions. Vance's comments underscore the importance of diplomacy and personal connections in shaping international relations. 



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