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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump's Affection for Royals: A Potential Lifeline for UK Trade

In a recent interview, U.S. Vice President JD Vance hinted at a promising trade deal between the United States and the United Kingdom, attributing the potential breakthrough to President Donald Trump's admiration for the British royal family. Vance emphasized the cultural and historical ties between the two nations, suggesting that Trump's fondness for the monarchy could play a pivotal role in easing trade tensions.

The United States has imposed sweeping tariffs on imports, with British goods facing a 10% charge and steel and car exports enduring a 25% rate. Despite these challenges, Vance expressed optimism about reaching a mutually beneficial agreement, citing the balanced trade relationship between the two countries. He also highlighted the reciprocal nature of U.S.-UK trade, contrasting it with the more restrictive policies of other European nations.

As negotiations continue, the cultural affinity and shared values between the U.S. and UK may prove to be a unique advantage in navigating global trade tensions. Vance's comments underscore the importance of diplomacy and personal connections in shaping international relations. 



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