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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Trump's 'Liberation Day': A New Chapter in Global Trade Tensions

The global economy braces for impact as former President Donald Trump prepares to unveil his much-anticipated "Liberation Day" tariffs. This announcement, set for April 2, promises to reshape international trade dynamics with sweeping measures aimed at addressing what Trump describes as "decades of unfair trade practices." 

While the specifics remain unclear, the tariffs are expected to target countries with significant trade imbalances with the United States. Critics warn that this move could escalate into a full-blown trade war, with nations like China, Canada, and the European Union likely to retaliate. Economists predict that these measures could disrupt supply chains, increase consumer prices, and create uncertainty for businesses worldwide.

Trump's administration argues that these tariffs are necessary to restore American manufacturing and economic sovereignty. However, the lack of clarity surrounding the policy has left markets jittery, with businesses and governments alike scrambling to prepare for the potential fallout.

As the world awaits the official announcement, one thing is certain: "Liberation Day" marks a pivotal moment in the ongoing debate over globalization and economic nationalism. Whether it will lead to liberation or further entanglement in trade disputes remains to be seen.

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