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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Trump's 'Liberation Day': A New Chapter in Global Trade Tensions

The global economy braces for impact as former President Donald Trump prepares to unveil his much-anticipated "Liberation Day" tariffs. This announcement, set for April 2, promises to reshape international trade dynamics with sweeping measures aimed at addressing what Trump describes as "decades of unfair trade practices." 

While the specifics remain unclear, the tariffs are expected to target countries with significant trade imbalances with the United States. Critics warn that this move could escalate into a full-blown trade war, with nations like China, Canada, and the European Union likely to retaliate. Economists predict that these measures could disrupt supply chains, increase consumer prices, and create uncertainty for businesses worldwide.

Trump's administration argues that these tariffs are necessary to restore American manufacturing and economic sovereignty. However, the lack of clarity surrounding the policy has left markets jittery, with businesses and governments alike scrambling to prepare for the potential fallout.

As the world awaits the official announcement, one thing is certain: "Liberation Day" marks a pivotal moment in the ongoing debate over globalization and economic nationalism. Whether it will lead to liberation or further entanglement in trade disputes remains to be seen.

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