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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump's 'Liberation Day': A New Chapter in Global Trade Tensions

The global economy braces for impact as former President Donald Trump prepares to unveil his much-anticipated "Liberation Day" tariffs. This announcement, set for April 2, promises to reshape international trade dynamics with sweeping measures aimed at addressing what Trump describes as "decades of unfair trade practices." 

While the specifics remain unclear, the tariffs are expected to target countries with significant trade imbalances with the United States. Critics warn that this move could escalate into a full-blown trade war, with nations like China, Canada, and the European Union likely to retaliate. Economists predict that these measures could disrupt supply chains, increase consumer prices, and create uncertainty for businesses worldwide.

Trump's administration argues that these tariffs are necessary to restore American manufacturing and economic sovereignty. However, the lack of clarity surrounding the policy has left markets jittery, with businesses and governments alike scrambling to prepare for the potential fallout.

As the world awaits the official announcement, one thing is certain: "Liberation Day" marks a pivotal moment in the ongoing debate over globalization and economic nationalism. Whether it will lead to liberation or further entanglement in trade disputes remains to be seen.

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