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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Trump's Tariff Tango: Electronics in the Crosshairs

 

In a move that could reshape the global tech landscape, former U.S. President Donald Trump has hinted at imposing a separate set of tariffs on electronics as early as Monday. This announcement follows a temporary exemption granted to smartphones, computers, and semiconductors from steep reciprocal tariffs on imports from China.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that these electronics would soon face new duties, separate from the broader reciprocal tariffs. The administration's rationale? National security concerns and a push to reshore production of critical technology products. While the specifics of these tariffs remain unclear, they are expected to be lower than the 125% rate imposed on other Chinese imports.

The tech industry, including giants like Apple and Dell, is bracing for impact. The temporary reprieve has provided some breathing room, but uncertainty looms as companies and lobbyists scramble to influence the parameters of these upcoming levies.

China, meanwhile, has criticized the move as a "small step" toward correcting what it sees as wrongful actions by the U.S. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce has urged the U.S. to cancel the tariffs entirely and return to mutual respect in trade negotiations.

As the world watches, the ripple effects of these tariffs could extend far beyond the tech sector, potentially influencing global markets and trade dynamics for years to come.

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