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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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UK Eyes Economic Accord as a Path to Tariff Relief

The United Kingdom remains optimistic about the prospects of securing the reversal of US-imposed tariffs through an upcoming economic agreement. Officials from Britain view this potential accord as a critical opportunity to strengthen bilateral trade ties and reduce trade barriers that have strained the economic relationship between the two nations.

Negotiations have gained momentum as both parties seek to address key trade issues, including tariffs on steel, aluminum, and other goods. The UK's leadership has expressed hope that removing these tariffs will not only benefit exporters but also foster economic growth on both sides of the Atlantic.

As discussions advance, analysts are closely observing the diplomatic dynamics that will shape the outcome of the agreement. The deal, if finalized, could mark a turning point in the UK-US economic partnership, paving the way for deeper collaboration and mutual prosperity.


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