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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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U.S. Diplomacy at a Crossroads: Trump and Rubio Signal Urgency in Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks

In a pivotal moment for international diplomacy, President Donald Trump has called on Russia to halt its attacks on Ukraine, emphasizing the need for immediate action to end the ongoing conflict. Trump's remarks come as U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio warns that the United States may reconsider its role in mediating peace efforts if progress remains elusive.

During a recent meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the Vatican, Trump expressed frustration over Russia's continued aggression, stating that there was "no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas." Rubio echoed the urgency, describing the coming week as "critical" for determining whether the U.S. will continue its involvement in the peace process.

The stakes are high, with both leaders underscoring the importance of a negotiated settlement to end the war. However, the path forward remains fraught with challenges, as territorial disputes and security guarantees continue to be major sticking points in the negotiations. 

This moment could define the future of U.S. engagement in global conflict resolution, as the administration balances its commitment to peace with the realities of geopolitical complexities.

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