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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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U.S. Diplomacy at a Crossroads: Trump and Rubio Signal Urgency in Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks

In a pivotal moment for international diplomacy, President Donald Trump has called on Russia to halt its attacks on Ukraine, emphasizing the need for immediate action to end the ongoing conflict. Trump's remarks come as U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio warns that the United States may reconsider its role in mediating peace efforts if progress remains elusive.

During a recent meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the Vatican, Trump expressed frustration over Russia's continued aggression, stating that there was "no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas." Rubio echoed the urgency, describing the coming week as "critical" for determining whether the U.S. will continue its involvement in the peace process.

The stakes are high, with both leaders underscoring the importance of a negotiated settlement to end the war. However, the path forward remains fraught with challenges, as territorial disputes and security guarantees continue to be major sticking points in the negotiations. 

This moment could define the future of U.S. engagement in global conflict resolution, as the administration balances its commitment to peace with the realities of geopolitical complexities.

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