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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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U.S. Diplomacy at a Crossroads: Trump and Rubio Signal Urgency in Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks

In a pivotal moment for international diplomacy, President Donald Trump has called on Russia to halt its attacks on Ukraine, emphasizing the need for immediate action to end the ongoing conflict. Trump's remarks come as U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio warns that the United States may reconsider its role in mediating peace efforts if progress remains elusive.

During a recent meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the Vatican, Trump expressed frustration over Russia's continued aggression, stating that there was "no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas." Rubio echoed the urgency, describing the coming week as "critical" for determining whether the U.S. will continue its involvement in the peace process.

The stakes are high, with both leaders underscoring the importance of a negotiated settlement to end the war. However, the path forward remains fraught with challenges, as territorial disputes and security guarantees continue to be major sticking points in the negotiations. 

This moment could define the future of U.S. engagement in global conflict resolution, as the administration balances its commitment to peace with the realities of geopolitical complexities.

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