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5 Things to Know Today: Midterms Day, Oil Plunge, Trade Deal, Budget (Nov 3)

  Canadian Money Brief • Tuesday, November 3, 2026 It’s Election Day in the United States, oil just had its biggest one-day drop since late July, and Ottawa tables its budget on Thursday. Here are five things to know today, and what each one means for your wallet. 1. U.S. midterms: Canada is watching Americans vote in the midterm elections today. Markets are expecting Democrats to win the House of Representatives, while control of the Senate is still uncertain. Trade policy has been a campaign issue, especially in border states such as Michigan and Maine, where Republican candidates have faced pressure over tariffs that have hurt local businesses. What it means for you: The result could move the loonie, the TSX and the tariff talks over the coming days, but one election night is rarely a reason to rebuild your TFSA or RRSP. If you need to convert Canadian dollars to U.S. dollars soon, expect choppy exchange rates. 2. Oil plunges on Iran diplomacy, then bounces Oil fell sharply o...
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U.S. Mediation in Russia-Ukraine Conflict Hangs by a Thread

The United States has issued a stern warning to Russia and Ukraine, emphasizing the need for concrete proposals to end the ongoing war. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that the U.S. might withdraw from its role as mediator if both nations fail to demonstrate seriousness in their peace negotiations. This marks a critical juncture in the diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict.

The warning comes amid heightened tensions, with renewed military activity in eastern Ukraine and disagreements over proposed ceasefires. Russian President Vladimir Putin has suggested a limited three-day ceasefire, which Ukraine has criticized as insufficient. Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials have expressed concerns that parts of the U.S. peace plan align too closely with Russian demands.

The U.S. has called for a durable and comprehensive resolution, built on mutual concessions and respect for international law. However, frustration within the U.S. administration is growing, as measurable progress remains elusive. Analysts warn that the absence of a trusted mediator could further escalate the conflict, jeopardizing regional and global stability.

The clock is ticking for Moscow and Kyiv to present viable solutions, as the U.S. considers redirecting its diplomatic focus elsewhere. The stakes are high, and the world watches closely as this complex diplomatic drama unfolds.

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