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TSX Eyes Gains as Trump-Xi Summit Looms and Oil Steadies Near $95

Canadian Money Brief · Monday, May 11, 2026 Canadian equities are set for a cautious but constructive open this Monday as investors balance a packed macro calendar against an energy sector still reeling from one of its most volatile weeks in recent memory. TSX at a Glance The S&P/TSX Composite closed Friday at 34,077.76 , up 221 points (+0.65%) to cap a week dominated by whipsaw oil moves and a fragile Middle East ceasefire. The energy sector has led TSX gains over the past seven days — up roughly 5% — even as WTI crude fell about 7% on the week, settling near $95.42 per barrel . That apparent contradiction reflects Canadian producers' longer-term optimism on supply tightness rather than any single day's price swing. For the year, the TSX is up approximately 35%, outpacing most major global benchmarks. The Big Story: Trump Heads to Beijing All eyes this week will be on Washington and Beijing. President Donald Trump is scheduled to arrive in China on Wednesday , with formal ...

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U.S. Mediation in Russia-Ukraine Conflict Hangs by a Thread

The United States has issued a stern warning to Russia and Ukraine, emphasizing the need for concrete proposals to end the ongoing war. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that the U.S. might withdraw from its role as mediator if both nations fail to demonstrate seriousness in their peace negotiations. This marks a critical juncture in the diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict.

The warning comes amid heightened tensions, with renewed military activity in eastern Ukraine and disagreements over proposed ceasefires. Russian President Vladimir Putin has suggested a limited three-day ceasefire, which Ukraine has criticized as insufficient. Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials have expressed concerns that parts of the U.S. peace plan align too closely with Russian demands.

The U.S. has called for a durable and comprehensive resolution, built on mutual concessions and respect for international law. However, frustration within the U.S. administration is growing, as measurable progress remains elusive. Analysts warn that the absence of a trusted mediator could further escalate the conflict, jeopardizing regional and global stability.

The clock is ticking for Moscow and Kyiv to present viable solutions, as the U.S. considers redirecting its diplomatic focus elsewhere. The stakes are high, and the world watches closely as this complex diplomatic drama unfolds.

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