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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...

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U.S. Mediation in Russia-Ukraine Conflict Hangs by a Thread

The United States has issued a stern warning to Russia and Ukraine, emphasizing the need for concrete proposals to end the ongoing war. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that the U.S. might withdraw from its role as mediator if both nations fail to demonstrate seriousness in their peace negotiations. This marks a critical juncture in the diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict.

The warning comes amid heightened tensions, with renewed military activity in eastern Ukraine and disagreements over proposed ceasefires. Russian President Vladimir Putin has suggested a limited three-day ceasefire, which Ukraine has criticized as insufficient. Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials have expressed concerns that parts of the U.S. peace plan align too closely with Russian demands.

The U.S. has called for a durable and comprehensive resolution, built on mutual concessions and respect for international law. However, frustration within the U.S. administration is growing, as measurable progress remains elusive. Analysts warn that the absence of a trusted mediator could further escalate the conflict, jeopardizing regional and global stability.

The clock is ticking for Moscow and Kyiv to present viable solutions, as the U.S. considers redirecting its diplomatic focus elsewhere. The stakes are high, and the world watches closely as this complex diplomatic drama unfolds.

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